This is easily one of the most exciting election seasons in decades, and everyone seems to be on the edge of their seats predicting who will get each party’s nomination. To say nothing of the White House. But if you really wanna know who’s fated for the most powerful position on the planet, look to the professional bookies. They’ve been right about 91% of presidential elections. So what do the guys who make their livings on the odds say about the odds?
Well, don’t count on a Republican in the White House any time soon. According to PredictWise, the Democrats have a 62% chance of retaining control of the presidency this election cycle based on an analysis of betting odds. That’s up from 58% only a couple of weeks ago.
Odds Shark offers similar chances, where a wager of $150 could net you $100. Betting on the Republicans will net you a return of the same amount of money if you throw down $120. I’d say it’s still a waste.
Sorry Bernie fans, it looks like Hillary Clinton is still favored to win the Dems’ nomination. Odds Checker, a site that combines odds across multiple betting sites, gives her a return-on-investment of 20%, with Bernie getting a whopping 500% on some sites.
But now prepare for a surprise. Bookies don’t think it’s gonna be Donald Trump who secures the Republican nomination, but Marco Rubio instead. While Trump comes in with 5/2 odds, Rubio has been carrying a solid 13/8. Below you can see a breakdown of the odds for each candidate for the GOP nomination, as well as odds for the overall goal of the White House in the general election.
Gambling on U.S. elections is illegal in the U.S., so don’t expect to throw down a wager at your local casino. Maybe just a friendly bet with your weird uncle who loves Ted Cruz, or the satisfaction of knowing you “called it” with your Sanders-loving millennial nephew.
Images via Groopspeak.com