GOP presidential primary front-runner Donald Trump has a 36 point lead over his rivals in the state of New York, according to a recent Quinnipiac University Poll released this morning.
The billionaire turned presidential candidate, who announced his run last year from his Trump Tower in New York City, has the support of 56 percent of likely primary voters in the state. His rivals, Texas senator Ted Cruz and Ohio governor John Kasich, have the support of just 20 percent and 19 percent, respectively.
The poll was conducted from March 22-29, surveying 457 likely Republican voters. The margin of error is 4.6 percent.
Democrats can rest assured, however, that the state remains a stronghold for the party in hypothetical general election match-ups. Bernie Sanders currently beats Trump 56-32 percent, with Clinton also besting the real-estate mogul 53-33 percent, giving both Democratic candidates a 20+ point advantage.
Sanders also crushes both of Trump’s rivals in this hypothetical matchup. Against Cruz, he wins by an even greater margin than with Trump, with 56-28 percent. He also bests Kasich by a considerable margin as well, with 47-37 percent. Clinton also crushes Cruz, 53-32 percent, but edges in single digits against Kasich with 46-41 percent.
Clinton, however, is currently polling ahead of Sanders on the Democratic side, with 54 percent to his 42 percent, a 12 point advantage. Although many have cited “home-field advantage” for former secretary Clinton, Sanders supporters are often quick to note that the Vermont Senator was born and raised in Brooklyn, meaning that the state is his literal “home-state” as well. Clinton was born and raised in Illinois, but served as a Senator in New York from 2001-2009.
On the Republican side, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz both have negative net-favorability ratings, 30-65 and 26-57 percent respectively. John Kasich, however, comes out with a positive net favorability rating, 43-18 percent. For the Democrats, Hillary Clinton gets a negative net-favorability rating of 45-49 percent, while Sanders comes out with a positive rating of 54-30 percent.
Perhaps the most bizarre piece of information this poll carries is that the candidates with the highest unfavorable ratings are the ones who are winning. If these projections continue to prove accurate, then Americans are preparing to elect a president next year that most of them don’t even like.
It is easy to cite these figures as an indication of how weak our current bipartisan, first-past-the-post electoral system actually is. American representative democracy, when this scenario becomes the norm, becomes little more than picking the candidate you dislike the least every election year. What fun! This likely has something to do with our consistently awful voter turnouts every election year. Americans have come to expect this as an inevitable part of life in their country.
It must be pointed out, however, that the New York Primary will not be held until April 19th. For all of the candidates remaining in the race, there is still ample time to turn the tide to their advantage. It is to be expected that all five campaigns will be investing heavily in the state, as the delegate prize will prove integral to their future success before the conventions this summer. 95 pledged delegates are at stake for the Republicans, while the Democrats have a massive 291 pledged delegates to be allocated.
Featured image via Getty.