It’s beginning to look like presumptive Republican presidential nominee, Donald Trump, is going to give Hillary Clinton a run for her money, should she win the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination. According to NBC News, just 47 percent of voters polled say they think Clinton will become the next President of the United States, and 46 percent say they believe The Donald will be our next Commander in Chief.
According to the latest poll from NBC/Survey Monkey, Clinton is ahead of Trump by just two percentage points, speaking to the fact that the race is a lot more neck and neck than most originally thought. The poll released Tuesday morning found 47 percent of voters favoring Clinton, and a close 45 percent favoring Trump.
Latest poll on general election shows dead heat between Clinton and Trump: pic.twitter.com/Brdm3LBxqC
— TODAY (@TODAYshow) May 31, 2016
The poll of 12,969 registered voters was conducted from May 23rd until May 29th, with a margin of error of 1.2 percentage points. According to NBC News, respondents were selected from the nearly three million daily SurveyMonkey users.
According to the RealClearPolitics index of all national polls, Clinton is ahead of Trump by a single point.
As Politico notes, Bernie Sanders is currently maintaining a 12-point lead over Trump. 50 percent of voters say they favor the Senator from Vermont compared to just 40 percent who claim they back The Donald.
As NBC News notes, Clinton maintains a significant lead over Trump among women, with 54 percent favoring the former Secretary of State and just 37 percent saying they’d back Trump. Conversely, however, Trump’s support among men has increased with 54 percent now favoring Trump to just 39 percent saying they support Clinton.
Pretty unsurprisingly, 87 percent of Black voters support Clinton, with just 8 percent leaning their support towards Trump. 61 percent of Hispanic voters favor Clinton to Trump’s 32 percent, which is certainly no surprise given his controversial comments.
Lastly, 53 percent of white voters prefer Trump to Clinton.
Last week Trump gained 1,237 delegates, the minimum number needed to clinch the GOP presidential nomination. According to NBC News, Trump’s jump in the polls can be attributed to his newfound status as the GOP’s presumptive nominee, according to patterns from the past two election cycles. Should Hillary become the Democratic presumptive nominee, we can expect to see a similar rise in the polls then as well.
Here’s an idea of how things would play out if the election were to take place today:
The NBC/SurveyMonkey poll from earlier this month found Clinton ahead of Trump by 3 percentage points; down from her 5 point lead prior to that. As the primaries draw to a close, it seems Trump is beginning to clinch in on Clinton. It’s likely that these numbers will shift a great deal heading into the general election, as debates begin. Regardless of how things play out in November, it’s without a doubt going to an extremely close race.