The race towards the presidency is getting incredibly close in New Jersey. A recent poll by Monmouth University shows that Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton leads Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump by a four point margin in the state of New Jersey. The state hasn’t voted for a Republican presidential nominee since 1988. The poll shows Trump with 34 percent, while Clinton has 38 percent. Additionally 11 percent of people told the poll they’d vote for another candidate even though they weren’t given that option by the pollster.
Monmouth University Polling Institute director, Patrick Murray, has said that all undecided voters should move their support to Clinton, providing her with a boost and ensuring her win.
‘Blue Jersey doesn’t appear quite so blue at this stage of the campaign, but we should keep in mind that neither major party candidate has fully locked in the support of their partisan bases. When and if that happens, the benefit should accrue more to Clinton than to Trump simply because Democrats outnumber Republicans in the state.
‘Based on historical precedent, these undecided minority voters should break strongly for the Democratic nominee. On the other hand, not much about the 2016 race has followed historical precedent.’
When third party candidates names are included Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton still has a 6 point lead over the Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. That’s 37 percent over Trump’s 31 percent. 15 percent said they would either vote for a third party, Green Party’s Jill Stein or Libertarian Gary Johnson, if not another unnamed outside candidate. 14 percent were undecided.
Clinton’s lead in this poll is in line with recent polling for New Jersey over the past 2 months.
Trump has the advantage with male voters while Hillary has the support of many women and younger voters. The poll has also found that neither one of the candidates would benefit from tapping either New Jersey Republican Governor Chris Christie or Democratic Senator Cory Booker for a V.P. slot.
Though not shocking at all, 40 percent plus of those who were polled said that they would be less likely to vote for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump if he picked Christie for V.P. while nearly half said that the choice would not change their vote.
Two thirds of those polled said that if Hillary Clinton put Cory Booker on the ticket it wouldn’t change their vote. 18 percent see it as a positive idea while 13 percent viewed it as a negative.
The poll shows Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump holding 44 percent to 20 percent lead among non-Hispanic White voters, with Democratic presidential candidate Clinton at 54 percent to 14 percent advantage among Black, Asian, and Hispanic voters. But notes that 68 percent of Black voters in New Jersey say this will vote for Clinton while barely 1 percent back Trump. Still 21 percent say they are still undecided about their vote of choice for November.
The poll conducted by Monmouth University Poll was done by telephone from May 23 to 27, 2016 with 806 New Jersey adults. This poll conducted by Monmouth University included 703 registered voters in New Jersey with a margin of error at 3.7 points.
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