Hillary Clinton is crashing into Donald Trump in the latest Fox News national poll, then overtaking him. In many questions, she was 12 points behind him as late as May, and now they are in a dead heat. One revelation is no matter how outrageous Trump acts, he still manages to creep within waving distance behind Clinton.
When interviewers asked which candidate people would vote for if the election were held today, 41 percent would vote for the Democratic ticket Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine and 39 percent for Republicans Donald Trump and Mike Pence. Libertarians Gary Johnson and Bill Weld took 9 percent, which is six points below the 15 percent they need to make the debate stage.
The Green Party ticket Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka took 4 percent. In addition, 5 percent didn’t know who they would vote for, 1 percent would vote for someone else, and 1 percent wouldn’t vote.
How many people were certain they would support their candidate? Overall, 77 percent were certain, but Clinton supporters were 87 percent certain, and Trump supporters were 88 percent, a virtual tie.
In an earlier poll, Clinton gained 5 percentage points for presidential preference.
The poll rotated questions and candidates to ensure fairness. In an earlier poll, a huge number believed Clinton had the temperament to be president compared toTrump, 64 percent to 37 percent.
The number who might change their minds about their candidate was 17 percent overall, 11 percent of Clinton supporters and 12 percent of Trump supporters. Overall, 6 percent didn’t know, 2 percent of Clinton supporters didn’t know, and none of the Trump supporters didn’t know.
If interviewees did not support Clinton, would they ever consider voting for her? Only 13 percent would, 87 percent would never consider it, and only 1 percent didn’t know. If the interviewees did not support Trump, 13 percent could imagine voting for him, 85 percent would never consider it, and 2 percent didn’t know.
If Hillary Clinton is elected president, which is better for the country, 43 percent chose a Democratic Congress to help her get things done, and 52 percent wanted a Republican Congress to check Clinton’s power. Five percent didn’t know.
If Donald Trump is elected, which is better for the country: 41 percent chose a Republican Congress to help him get things done, 51 percent chose a Democratic Congress to check Trump’s power, and 8 percent didn’t know.
Interviewers asked people what they thought should happen to the illegal immigrants who work in this country. A strong 77 percent believed we should set up a system so they can become legal. Then, 19 percent want to deport as many as possible, and 4 percent didn’t know.
If Trump softened his position on handling illegal immigrants in the U.S., 36 percent would be more likely to vote for him, and 25 percent would be less likely. It would make no difference to 37 percent, and 2 percent didn’t know.
In July 2015, slightly over a year ago, 64 percent wanted to set up a system so they could become legal. A full 30 percent wanted to deport as many as possible, and 5 percent didn’t know.
When interviewers asked people who would do the better job on terrorism and national security, 49 percent chose Clinton, 46 percent chose Trump, 2 percent chose both or neither, and 2 percent didn’t know.
In May, Trump had a 12-percent lead over Clinton on the subject of terrorism and national security.
When asked who would do a better job on the economy, 48 percent chose Clinton, 48 percent chose Trump, 3 percent chose both or neither, and 2 percent didn’t know.
In an interesting coincidence, Trump also had a 12-percent lead over Clinton in May regarding the economy.
The Fox News Poll was conducted under the management of Anderson Robbins Research (Democratic) and Shaw & Company Research (Republican). The poll interviews were live and conducted by phone from Aug. 28 through Aug. 30, 2016. The random sampling consisted of 1,011 registered voters nationwide. The margin of error is 3 +/- percentage points.
To read the entire poll, click on this link.