According to the latest Monmouth University survey released on Wednesday, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton maintains a small lead over Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in Wisconsin.
Wisconsin hasn’t voted for a GOP presidential nominee in more than 30 years. The Monmouth University survey shows that Hillary Clinton has 43 percent support, while Donald Trump has only 38 percent support. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian presidential nominee, has 7 percent support, and Jill Stein, Green Party presidential nominee, has 3 percent support.
If the Republican presidential nominee can’t manage to win in Rust Belt states (Wisconsin, Ohio, Indiana, and Pennsylvania), there’s a slim chance he’ll make it to the White House. The fact that the lead in Wisconsin is slim means it could shift in Donald Trump’s favor, and that’s the GOP nominee’s only consolation.
Marquette University, considered the number one in Wisconsin polling, released a survey earlier this month that showed Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leading Trump by 15 points.
In 2012, President Obama won in the state by seven points and in 2008, by 13 points.
Monmouth University pollster, Patrick Murray, said:
‘The current presidential election race in Wisconsin is looking a lot like the 2012 contest right now.’
In Wisconsin, Donald Trump is actually doing better there, with 83 percent support coming from Republicans, than he is nationally. Hillary Clinton has a respective 89 percent of support from Wisconsin Democrats. Among independents, Trump has a minuscule lead, with 37 percent support over the Democratic presidential nominee, who has 34 percent support.
Among white males polled, the GOP nominee has the majority of the support with 51 percent versus Clinton’s 29 percent. When looking at white females, Hillary Clinton has 50 percent of the vote, whereas her opponent has 33 percent support. Among white voters in Wisconsin, Donald Trump’s numbers are paralleling Mitt Romney’s 2012 numbers.
Among Black, Hispanic, and Asian voters, unsurprisingly, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton holds a large advantage, leading Donald Trump by 55 points.
As will every other poll across the country this election season, both presidential nominees have awful favorability ratings. Clinton leads Trump with 34 percent viewing her positively over 26 percent viewing Donald Trump positively.
The Monmouth University survey, conducted between Aug. 27 and Aug. 30, included 404 likely Wisconsin voters, and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.
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