It has finally happened. Bernie Sanders has overtaken Hillary Clinton in the national polls by two percentage points. He polls at 49 percent, while she follows at 47 percent. But that is not all that the polls are saying. In fact, the polls are predicting primary trouble on the political horizon.
The two parties have become more polarized than ever before. The Republicans have generally run to the far right hovering around people like presidential candidate Ted Cruz of Texas.
At the same time, the majority of Democrats define themselves as “liberal,” which was a dirty word just a few years ago. Politics have started moving at what is warp speed in the political process.
Sanders, just off of a double-digit Wisconsin primary win Tuesday, has won seven of the last eight primary contests. He is closing in on Hillary’s pledged delegates with 1027 to her 1279 delegates.
Polls indicate that Bernie and Hillary supporters may have a difficult time moving to support the primary winner, especially as the race heats up, heading toward the upcoming New York primary election.
According to the new McClatchy-Marist poll, which was released Wednesday, 25 percent of all Sanders supporters refuse to back Clinton in a general election. Right at 69 percent of his supporters do say they could support Clinton, should she win the party’s nomination.
So, what is going on with one-quarter of Sanders’ supporters, the ones who are least likely to support former senator/secretary of state Clinton? According to the new poll, this unmoved group of voters includes men, moderates, and independents.
The large group of Sanders supporters who are willing to support Clinton, if she wins the primary, consists of Democrats, nonwhites, people who are between the ages of 18 and 44, and women.
Ironically, Clinton supporters are far likelier to back Sanders. While 79 percent would back him, only 14 percent of her supporters refuse to back the Vermont senator.
Looking at the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Clinton leads with 5.9 percentage points lead over Sanders. He continues to close the gap.
The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted by interviewing 1,297 people between March 29 and 31. It has a margin of error of 2.7 points.
Clinton is clearly looking over her shoulder.
Check out the Young Turks’ take on Sanders’ rise in this video:
H/T: The Hill.