Nearly 20% of Republicans surveyed in a new USA Today/Suffolk University poll said that if the election came down to a vote between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, they would vote for Clinton. Both candidates could suffer due to the splits in their respective parties.
In an analysis of the poll’s results, USA Today stated that:
Four in 10 Republicans surveyed aren’t sure whether they’d vote for Trump if he’s the nominee, saying they would consider instead supporting the other party’s nominee or a third-party candidate or just staying home. Among Democrats, four in 10 supporters of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders say they aren’t sure they would vote for Clinton.
The article went on to discuss the results by saying:
During primary battles, hard feelings aren’t unusual. But in the GOP this year, opposition to Trump runs deep from some Republican leaders amid alarm about the billionaire businessman’s off-the-cuff policy positions and provocative rhetoric. Among Democrats, Sanders has drawn bigger crowds and more fervent supporters than Clinton, particularly among younger voters.
Although both parties are experiencing massive splits among voters within their own parties, that split is evidenced most deeply among the GOP. All of the recent polls show Clinton beating Trump handily in the general election should the two candidates be the nominees facing one another. The only variations are in the margin of victory Clinton would have to secure the presidency.
Polls in April project her winning the general election by as little as three percentage points to a much larger margin of eleven percentage points. In the past four elections, Obama beat Romney by just under four points and McCain by seven points, Bush beat Kerry by just over two points and lost the popular election to Al Gore. Should Clinton win by only three points, it would follow the modern historical trend, but to win by eleven points would be a huge victory.
The USA Today/Suffolk University poll showed Clinton with a slight lead over her rival, Bernie Sanders, and Trump with a massive lead over his remaining rivals, Ted Cruz and John Kasich.
For more on the results of this poll, see the video below: