BREAKING: California Democratic Primary Votes Have Been Counted And The Winner Is…

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In what is effectively the closing of the Democratic primary season, Hillary Clinton has just been declared the winner of the California Democratic primary. Clinton will be taking to the nominating convention the majority of the state’s 475 delegates in July.

The dramatic finish for Bernie Sanders in today’s race marks his final push to the nominating convention as he refuses to give up, even though the mainstream media has declared Clinton the “presumptive nominee.”

Sanders hopes to, in the upcoming weeks before the Convention, sway Democratic Party leaders to his side, leaders who hold valuable votes and sway at the convention.

Sanders asserts, and the poll numbers agree, that he is the stronger Democratic candidate to take on the avowed racist at the top of the Republicans’ presidential ticket. Sanders maintains a nearly continuous double digit lead against Trump in general election polling.

Clinton, on the other hand, continues to drop in the polls pitting her against Trump, sometimes even falling behind the presumptive Republican nominee. She has dramatically, almost obscenely low favorability ratings, and Trump knows how to manipulate that against her.

Sanders hopes that Democratic Party leaders care enough about this fact to lean in his favor at the Convention.

Going into today’s race, Hillary Clinton was moderately favored to win, although such a scenario hasn’t always held up on results night.

Five Thirty Eight analysts gave her a 90 percent chance of carrying the state as of the night before primary day, as you can see in their graph below, showing their predictions over time.

CA-primary-final-forecast BREAKING: California Democratic Primary Votes Have Been Counted And The Winner Is... Election 2016 Top Stories

The Real Clear Politics polling average ahead of today’s primary had Clinton up by an even 2 percent. You can see the graph of that average over time below.

rcpfinalcaligraph BREAKING: California Democratic Primary Votes Have Been Counted And The Winner Is... Election 2016 Top Stories

Even though Clinton was up, odds of scoring an upset victory were on Sanders’s side going into today’s election.

For example, the Clinton “lead” in the polls as of the morning of the election was well within the average margin of error of the polls used for the average. The margin of error is that number which represents the potential difference between the reported numbers and the actual numbers. Clinton’s lead was only about 2 percent, versus a margin of error of between 4 and 5 percent.

Featured Image is via Disney/ABC Television on Flickr, Available Under a Creative Commons License.