NY Times Presidential Probability Poll Released, Results Are Mind-Boggling (DETAILS)

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The latest in national polls shows that Hillary Clinton is nearly guaranteed to be the next president of the United States. At this point in the race, the chance of her losing her bid for the highest office in the land is exactly the same as the probability that “an N.B.A. player will miss a free throw.”

2016-07-19-12_58_10-Who-Will-Be-President_-The-New-York-Times1-1024x393 NY Times Presidential Probability Poll Released, Results Are Mind-Boggling (DETAILS) Donald Trump Election 2016 Hillary Clinton Politics
Image via New York Times

In fact, Trump is only projected to win in 22 of the 50 states, many of them small states with few delegates.

2016-07-19-13_04_00-Who-Will-Be-President_-The-New-York-Times-1024x570 NY Times Presidential Probability Poll Released, Results Are Mind-Boggling (DETAILS) Donald Trump Election 2016 Hillary Clinton Politics
Image via New York Times

Trump is expected to win no blue states, although Clinton is leading in two battleground states, Ohio and Florida, and two traditionally red states, North Carolina and Georgia.

The poll results were released today, just one day after night one of the Republican National Convention. Those numbers may or may not change as a result of the Republican platform, announced last week but spelled out in no uncertain terms at the convention. Many of the talking points were discussed on the first night, in which the theme was “Make America Safe Again,” and delved deeply into the idea that all non-white people are dangerous, all cultures outside the white, middle-class standard are dangerous, and most of the country should be either forced out of the country or brought to heel by the military and/or police. It is unknown how the RNC’s expression of that platform will affect the projected results at this point.

Although the Trump campaign has insisted that Trump’s platform is sure to win over Bernie Sanders’s supporters, especially after Senator Sanders officially endorsed Secretary Clinton, the choice of Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) as the vice presidential candidate to Trump is expected to affect the ability of the campaign to do so.

CNBC reports that potential voters are backing away from Trump’s far-right, establishment-approved choice of VP in Pence.

“Trump’s choice of Pence, a Swiss-cheese Republican who evokes little emotion — positive or negative — as his running mate was clearly a play to appease an establishment base still in denial that a brash, anti-trade, anti-neocon, anti-kiss-the-Koch-Brothers’-ring reality star has taken over their regular order of pushing money around for the plutocrats.

But Pence, who is governor of Indiana — a state Trump won handily during the primary, and will likely win in the general election — offers nothing to the lost-at-sea Sanders voter whose frustration with the status quo makes them open to Trump.”

Destroying Trump’s campaign for the presidency may actually be the first thing Pence has done to make the rest of us cheer him on.

See one of Clinton’s national ads against Trump below:

 

Featured image via Flikr by Donkey Hotey available under a Creative Commons license