According to the results of a new poll from Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are virtually tied in the state of Missouri.
This poll shows that Clinton leads Trump by one percentage point — 41 to 40 percent.
Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson comes in third behind Trump and Clinton with nine percent of the vote, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein takes only one percent. The remaining nine percent of those polled are still undecided.
In addition to being virtually tied in terms of support, Trump and Clinton also are close in terms of being viewed unfavorably. Forty-five percent of those polled view Clinton unfavorably, while a whopping 51 percent have an unfavorable view of Trump. Thirty-three percent view Trump favorably, and 42 percent view Clinton favorably.
These dismal favorability ratings are similar to those of other polls. Throughout the entire election, both Clinton and Trump have struggled to gain favor with voters.
The poll was conducted between July 23 and 24, which was at the end of the Republican National Convention and right before the beginning of the Democratic National Convention. The timing of this poll may have had some effect on the two nominees’ favorability ratings.
When those polled are broken down by demographic, Clinton leads among women, voters aged 18-64, and African Americans. Trump leads among men, voters over 65, and white voters. The poll results also showed Trump leading among Independents, 39-31.
With women, Clinton has 46 percent of the vote, while Trump has 37 percent. Trump leads Clinton among men 44 to 35 percent. It is with African Americans that Clinton’s lead is the most prominent: She receives 96 percent of the vote for this demographic, while Trump receives only one percent.
Both nominees have a large percentage of their party backing them — 87 percent of Democrats support Clinton and 79 percent of Republicans support Trump. Both Trump and Clinton each receive 3 percent support from their opposing party.
On Friday, Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch that if either Clinton or Trump wants to win Missouri, they are going need to increase voter enthusiasm substantially.
‘Really, Missouri right now looks like a turnout game, which is really kind of the same thing that is going on nationally.’
‘because neither choice is popular … whoever is more successful in convincing their people that their [candidate] isn’t as bad as the other one [wins].’
The latest RealClearPolitics average of polls matches up fairly closely to the poll conducted by Mason-Dixon. The average shows both nominees to be extremely close in the polls, although the average also shows Trump to be the one with the slight lead, 45.6 to 44.7.
Coker also spoke to the fact that Missouri is often “right there with the winner” as far as the polls are concerned.
‘Throw the Romney election out and Missouri has been a pretty good barometer. We may be back to what Missouri was for 40 years: right there with the winner.’
‘The state is not a red, red, red state. It may be a purple state again as it was 10 years ago.’
The Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll questioned 625 registered voters in Missouri from July 23 to 24. The poll has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.