According to the latest Monmouth University poll, 46 percent of likely voters say they support Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, compared to just 39 percent who say they back Republican presidential nominee, Donald Trump.
Clinton’s lead is now tightening, following her 13 percentage point lead after the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia last month.
Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute had this to say about Clinton’s lead:
‘The margin has narrowed since her post-convention bounce, but Clinton is holding onto an underlying advantage over Trump among key voting blocs.’
Findings from the current poll show that 34 percent of voters have a favorable view of Clinton whereas 51 percent have an unfavorable view. Turn to Trump, however, and only 26 percent of voters have a favorable view of him, compared to 57 percent who say they view him unfavorably. Combine the results and only 2 percent of voters view either candidate favorably, while 35 percent view either one unfavorably.
Take a glance back in American history and you’ll find the number of voters who did not have a favorable opinion of either nominee has never been higher than 9 percent. But today, the number of voters who view one of the candidates unfavorably is more than triple what it’s ever been in all of American history. Murray said:
‘The number of voters who cannot bring themselves to voice a positive opinion of either presidential nominee is more than three times higher than in any other election in recent memory. This is unprecedented.’
Interestingly enough, 1-in-3 voters do not have a favorable opinion of either nominee, with 21 percent who say they have an unfavorable opinion of both candidates. Seven percent say they view Clinton unfavorably, while expressing “no opinion” of Trump, and 8 percent have an unfavorable view of Trump while expressing “no opinion” of Clinton.
Murray found the results to be “extraordinary,” going on to add:
‘This is truly extraordinary. It seems like a significant number of voters are backing a presidential candidate about whom they cannot say anything positive.’
He went on to add:
‘It is highly unlikely these voters truly have a neutral opinion of their chosen candidate. They simply may have wanted to avoid contradicting themselves by expressing a negative view of a candidate who will reluctantly get their vote.’
Clinton has come under more scrutiny lately as critics suggest emails show staff at the Department of State set up meetings for Clinton Foundation donors during her time as Secretary of State. When voters were asked, 54 percent agreed that donors to the Clinton family’s non-profit organization were likely given special treatment, compared with just 26 percent who see feel she did nothing wrong. The last 20 percent have no opinion on the matter.
The poll found 7 percent of likely voters say they support Libertarian Party nominee, Gary Johnson, while just 2 percent of likely voters say they support Green Party nominee, Jill Stein.
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted via telephone from August 25-28, 2016 among 802 registered voters. The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
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