A new Bloomberg Politics poll that was released on Wednesday shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by five percentage points in Ohio. Ohio is a crucial swing state, as it has backed the winning presidential candidate in every election since 1964.
In a two-way contest, Trump receives 48 percent support to Clinton’s 43 percent among likely voters. When Gary Johnson and Jill Stein are included, Trump still leads Clinton by five points, 44 percent to 39 percent.
This poll was taken between Friday, Sept. 9 and Monday, Sept. 12. The timing of the poll may have something to do with Clinton’s decrease in support. The poll was taken at the same time that the Democratic nominee faced backlash for saying that half of Donald Trump’s supporters were a “basket of deplorables” and dealt with concerns about her health after she left a Sept. 11 memorial ceremony early.
When explaining why he prefers Trump over Clinton, one of the individuals surveyed, Darren Roberts, said that he is “tired of career politicians being in office and nothing’s ever changed.” Roberts, a Columbus resident who works as a facilities maintenance and home improvement retail worker and considers himself an Independent, also said that he doesn’t like all of Trump’s policies, but he really doesn’t like Clinton’s.
Although Trump’s policies are preferred over Clinton’s in Ohio, seven out of 10 voters feel that the promise he has made since the beginning of his campaign — to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border and make Mexico pay for it — is unrealistic.
57 percent of voters also said that they are put off by Trump mocking a disabled reporter earlier in his campaign. Four in 10 voters said that they want him to release his tax returns, and another 40 percent said they are troubled by the donation Trump’s foundation made to Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi.
It appears that Clinton is also suffering from decisions her husband made during his presidency. The poll’s results reveal that 57 percent of Ohio voters are skeptical of trade deals like the North American Free Trade Agreement, which Bill Clinton backed when he was president. Trump has appealed to working-class voters by criticizing such trade deals throughout his campaign and promising to bring jobs back to the United States. As a result, seven in 10 Ohio Trump supporters consider NAFTA to be a bad deal.
Clinton is also losing votes due to controversies from her time as secretary of state. 59 percent of voters say they were bothered by her handling of the Benghazi attacks, 57 percent criticized her handling of a private email server, and 53 percent are skeptical of the Clinton Foundation accepting money from foreign governments.
Trump currently leads in three of five Ohio regions. He does particularly well in southeast Ohio, where he receives 61 percent of the vote to Clinton’s 31 percent.
Clinton is doing best in northeast Ohio, which includes cities like Cleveland and Youngstown, which are known to be largely Democratic.
Despite Trump’s overall lead in the state, Clinton’s supporters are more positive about her candidacy than Trump’s are about his. 56 percent of Clinton’s supporters say that their decision to vote for Clinton is to support her, rather than to vote against Trump. 45 percent of Trump supporters, though, say that their vote for him is a vote against Clinton. Only 49 percent of Trump voters say their vote is in support of him.
Trump is viewed favorably by 45 percent of Ohio voters, while Clinton is viewed favorably by 40 percent. Both candidates have struggled with their favorability ratings throughout the election, and both come in below President Barack Obama and former President Bill Clinton. Obama is viewed positively by 46 percent of Ohio voters, as is former President Clinton.
The poll surveyed 802 likely Ohio voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.