Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight have been on top of keeping forecast tabs on the race for the presidency since day one of the primary season. Now, with less than two months to go until the general election, the numbers are moving slightly in Donald Trump’s favor, but Hillary still comes out way on top.
Clinton has picked up the crucial swing states of Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, according to the latest model. FiveThirtyEight calculates that if the election were held today, Clinton would win 281.9 electoral votes while Trump would take 255.8.
As of Wednesday afternoon, the Republican presidential nominee is holding onto a 43.5 percent chance of winning the presidency were the election to be held today – a number which falls below Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s 56.5 percent chance of winning the presidency.
These numbers are down from the historic near 90 percent chance of winning the presidency that Clinton enjoyed throughout the weeks following the Democratic National Convention, a convention heralded as showing United States’ voters the time-tested and levelheaded policies to be implemented by Clinton should she be elected president.
Check out FiveThirtyEight’s color coded map of the nation below. States marked blue are likely Clinton wins while red states are likely Trump wins.
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