JUST IN: Election Model NEVER Wrong Announces INCREDIBLE 2016 Results (DETAILS)


Just hours ahead of the first debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, the newest update to the electoral college model produced by Moody’s Analytics has Clinton winning the White House in a landslide victory come November.

The Moody’s Analytics model makes its projections based upon economic and political factors that “do not take any aspects of the individual candidates into account,” according to Dan White, a Moody’s economist who compiles the monthly model.

These factors include “income growth by state, including job and wage growth, hours worked and the quality of the jobs being created in the two years leading up to an election.” The impact of these factors, be they positive or negative, is weighed on the outgoing incumbent president’s party, with the chances for a candidate of the same party to win come November correspondingly going up or down.

And, as The Hill reports, this model “forecasts that Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee, will win 332 electoral votes, while Republican [presidential] nominee Donald Trump will win 206 electoral votes.”

Since 270 electoral votes are required to win the presidency, Clinton is thus put well over the top.

Moody’s Analytics has been correct since its inception as a presidential election forecaster in 1980, but Senior Economist Dan White still noted:

‘Given the unusual nature of the 2016 election cycle to date, it is very possible that voters will react to changing economic and political conditions differently than they have in past election cycles, placing some risk in the model outcome.’

Indeed, to note that the numbers from Moody’s are the rosiest out there lately would be an understatement.

FiveThirtyEight projects that if the election were held today Donald Trump would win by a narrow margin, literally only a handful of electoral votes ahead of Clinton.

FiveThirtyEight’s national map is featured below, with each state colored in red or blue depending on the candidate projected to win therein.

538 JUST IN: Election Model NEVER Wrong Announces INCREDIBLE 2016 Results (DETAILS) Donald Trump Election 2016 Hillary Clinton Politics Top Stories
Image via Screenshot from FiveThirtyEight

The election model from FiveThirtyEight does not, however, negate the possibility of the predictions from Moody’s coming true. FiveThirtyEight gives chances, numbers which are derived from using poll numbers and turnout projections to run “election simulations.” The Moody’s numbers are the results of just one of those simulations.

Thus, liberals need not lose hope yet.

Featured Image via Justin Sullivan/Getty Images.