As the final post-debate polls roll in, a monumental announcement comes with the numbers- Donald Trump didn’t just lose the debate, he crashed and burned.
This dismal end for the Republican presidential nominee’s performance at the first of three debates to be held before the general election is only reflected in the polls conducted according a scientific standard, with appropriately selected respondents and the like.
Polls which simply consist of online tally marks which anyone can add to were easily co-opted by Trump supporters in an attempt to make their candidate seem more palatable. Thus the polls not conducted according to a scientific standard generally show Trump with a commanding lead in terms of the proportion of voters who say that he won the debate.
Trump either does not get the difference between scientific and non-scientific polls and/ or he doesn’t care. The presidential candidate gleefully tweeted the results of the latter type of polls in the days following the debate, claiming that the numbers showed that he won, a “win” which he wrote was “such a great honor.”
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 27, 2016
Every on-line poll, Time Magazine, Drudge etc., has me winning the debate. Thank you to Fox & Friends for so reporting!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 28, 2016
But, unsurprisingly, Trump was wrong. Every actual, scientific poll showed the Republican presidential candidate as the definitive loser of the debate, thus corresponding to the results of the CNN poll released in the hours immediately following the debate.
That CNN poll showed a solid majority of voters to back Clinton as the debate’s winner, compared to only one in four who said the same of Trump.
Who won? Per CNN's poll of debate watchers:
Trump: 27% pic.twitter.com/y7RCwXxrhN
— Dan Diamond (@ddiamond) September 27, 2016
Boston’s NPR news station, WBUR, summarized the results of a further series of post- debate polls in a chart which is featured below. Every poll shows Clinton as the winner.
WBUR also summarized the difference between the polls cited by the station and those cited by Trump’s tweets, writing:
‘To give the simplest possible rule of thumb, a poll that makes no attempt to control who participates should not be viewed as representative. It’s for entertainment. Read it, enjoy it, share it, but don’t mistake it for the type of poll that seeks to accurately represent public opinion.’
And that “mistaking” is exactly what Trump pushed on his followers and tried to make fly with the general public through his tweets.
Of course, Trump has an excellent reason to push the shady polls, since winners of debates often, if not always, enjoy a bounce in poll numbers shortly thereafter.
Clinton already has seen such a bounce, with New York Magazine writing that Clinton was up over Trump by four percent in the first post debate poll.
Featured Image via TIMOTHY A. CLARY /AFP /Getty Images.