Uh oh, Donald Trump has broken a new record in a new WDIV/Detroit News survey, but the news is not good for the billionaire. Detroit has him polling at zero percent, and he has to win Michigan in order to win the presidential election. Maybe, he shouldn’t feel too badly. Green Party candidate Jill Stein polled at zero in Detroit, too.
The poll was conducted from Sept. 27 through 29, following the first presidential debate. It indicated that 39 percent of all Michigan voters support Trump, leaving him a significant 7 points behind Hillary Clinton. With that large of a lead, Clinton is decidedly ahead of Trump, but he does lead in Macomb County and northern Michigan. That includes the Upper Peninsula.
The data indicates strong African-American voter support for Clinton, and she definitely holds a dramatically high advantage over Trump.
This isn’t the first time that Trump has polled zero percent. In addition to Detroit’s dismal numbers, the real estate mogul polled zero percent with Pennsylvania and Ohio African-Americans this summer in an NBC poll.
The WDIV/Detroit News poll surveyed 800 likely voters across the state of Michigan, which was good sample size. But the problem arose when the pollsters ended up with only 39 Detroit likely voters. The rule of thumb in statistics is the smaller the sample, the less accurate the margin of error.
So, what does that mean? The results are not as dire as they first seem. Clearly, someone will vote for Trump in Detroit, especially since 7.7 percent of the likely voters were still “undecided” at this point.
Current polls show Clinton with an overwhelming advantage in Detroit. She is currently polling at 89.7 percent.
Libertarian Gary Johnson took 2.6 percent of the likely Detroit voters. The 7.7 percent of undecided voters are still up for grabs. In regions across Michigan, the sample sizes were so small that the margin of error was quite high among the regional samples.
The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted live telephone surveys in Michigan. The sample size consisted of 600 likely voters in the presidential election on Nov. 8. The margin of error was 4.0 percent +/- with a 95 percent level of confidence.
For this survey, 65 percent of the interviews were completed by landline telephones, and 35 percent of the interviews were surveyed on cell phones. The Detroit News and WDIV Local 4 commissioned this survey.
For the results of the presidential debate, click here.