BREAKING: Arizona, Florida, & Nevada Polls Released, Results Show Electoral BLASTOFF (STATS)

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Hillary Clinton is trying to lock up four traditionally red states against Donald Trump, according to four new polls released by Emerson College Poll Thursday. Bernie Sanders campaigning for the Democratic presidential candidate is making a huge difference in her numbers.

The Emerson College Poll shows new states are edging into battleground states in the 2016 presidential election. Clinton is moving in on Trump in Florida and Nevada. But Trump is keeping it close in other battleground states.

Figure 1: Presidential Ballot

FL

NV

RI

AZ

Clinton

44%

43%

52%

44%

Trump

45%

43%

32%

42%

Johnson

4%

9%

5%

9%

Stein

3%

4%

5%

1%

Unsure

4%

2%

6%

6%

n=

600

700

600

600

MOE*

3.90%

3.60%

3.90%

3.90%

*Margin of error

Clinton has taken the lead in Arizona with 44 percent to 42 percent, but in Florida, Trump leads with 45 percent to 44 percent. The two tie in Nevada with 43 percent each. In Rhode Island, Clinton is crushing Trump with a 20 percent lead, 52 percent to 32 percent. The poll attributes Clinton’s move in the polls to Bernie Sanders campaigning for the former secretary of state.

Figure 2: Sanders Voters – Candidate Preference by State

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Gary Johnson

Jill Stein

Unsure

FL

62%

18%

2%

17%

1%

NV

50%

15%

18%

16%

2%

RI

67%

10%

6%

11%

6%

AZ

78%

7%

11%

3%

2%

Clinton was struggling along with only 50 percent of Sanders’ voters in Rhode Island planning to vote for her, according to a September 7 Emerson poll. After Sanders began campaigning for Clinton, that number jumped to an astounding 67 percent in less than one month. Now 78 percent of Sanders’ Arizona voters favor Clinton.

Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 11 percent in Nevada (47 percent to 36 percent) and 6 percent in Rhode Island (42 percent to 36 percent). Clinton leads in Florida by 1 percent, and she holds a 5 percent lead in Arizona (42 percent to 37 percent).

Clinton leads in the states where there is a large Hispanic population. That demographic is Florida 19 percent, Nevada 22 percent, and Arizona 22 percent. She leads Trump in all three states among Hispanic voters, Nevada 59 percent to 21 percent, Arizona 54 percent to 40 percent, and Florida 59 percent to 36 percent.

Florida is the only state among the four states polled with an African American population greater than 10%. Clinton holds a huge lead in that demographic, 77 percent to 18 percent.

Hillary Clinton has an enormous lead among women voters over Donald Trump, 34 percent, 60 percent to 26 percent.

In the U.S. Senate races, Republicans have a comfortable lead in two out of three states, even though Democrats had anticipated taking over the Senate in this race. Marco Rubio is going for the Florida Senate seat he now holds, after losing in his bid in the presidential election again Trump. He has a strong lead over Democratic Representative Patrick Murphy, 47 percent to 39 percent.

Although Arizona Senator John McCain has a huge lead over his Democratic opponent, Ann Kirpatrick, 52 percent to 36 percent, he had to campaign hard to get there. The Nevada Democratic Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid’s seat is open, because he is retiring. Republican Joe Heck leads by 4 percentage points against Catherine Cortez Masto, 45 percent to 41 percent.

The unanticipated strong Republican lead is due to an influx of down-ticket money. The funds have generally been diverted from the unpopular Trump campaign. Typically, a Republican presidential candidate pulls the Senate and House along with him or her. However, these seats are moving ahead in spite of Trump at the helm of the Republican ticket.

The Emerson College Poll of Florida, Arizona, Nevada and Rhode Island polls conducted interviews in English and Spanish from October 2nd to the 4th. In Nevada, 700 likely voters in the general election had a 3.6 +/- percent margin of error. In Florida, Arizona, and Rhode Island 600 likely voters had a 3.9 +/ percent margin of error. Emerson collected data on landlines using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR).

H/T: Media Wix.