In a Bloomberg Politics Florida poll, Donald Trump appears to now have a two point lead over Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House.
In the four way race, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump holds 45 percent of the vote to Hillary Clinton’s 43 percent of support among likely voters. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson holds four percent of the vote and Green Party candidate Jill Stein has 2 percent. Another two percent of likely voters surveyed are still undecided on which candidate they will choose and four percent would rather not say.
In a hypothetical two way race, Donald Trump only has a one point advantage over Hillary Clinton, as he holds 46 percent to Clinton’s 45 percent of support from likely voters.
It appears as if Independent voters may be the deciding factor in the hypothetical two way race, according to J. Ann Selzer, who oversaw the survey. This is what she told Bloomberg Politics in their report of the survey findings:
‘This race may come down to the Independent vote. Right now they tilt for Trump. By a narrow margin, they opted for Obama over Romney in 2012.’
New Bloomberg politics poll: Trump has 2-point lead over Clinton in must-win state of Florida pic.twitter.com/4C0eVmseMc
— FOX & friends (@foxandfriends) October 26, 2016
Although Trump is ahead in this poll, others like the Real Clear Politics poll shows Hillary Clinton ahead with 46 percent of the vote to Donald Trump’s 44 percent.
In a breakdown of voters polled in the Bloomberg survey, Hillary Clinton has an advantage over Donald Trump among likely non white voters. She holds 51 percent of the Hispanic voters support and is ahead of Trump by 33 points among other non white groups. She also has a 10 point advantage over Donald Trump among voters with college degrees and gets 49 percent support from voters under the age of 35.
Donald Trump holds his lead among white voters, getting 54 percent of their support. He also leads among voters over the age of 55 with 49 percent of their support. He leads among rural residents by 31 points and voters without college degrees by nine points.
With the statistics of this poll showing who is more likely to vote for Trump in this crucial state, it is evident that Hillary Clinton needs the younger non white crowd to get out and vote in order to win. Although the polls fluctuate so often, it is still important for that demographic to get out and vote in order to keep Trump from winning the state.
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