JUST IN: Monmouth University SWING STATE Poll Released, 50%+ Surge In ONE Week (STATS)


A new Monmouth University poll shows that Hillary Clinton’s lead has shrunk in New Hampshire. In September, Clinton led her opponent, Donald Trump, by 9 points. Now, her lead is down to 4 points.

The results of the poll show that 46 percent of likely New Hampshire voters are backing Clinton, while 42 percent are supporting Trump. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson receives 7 percent of the vote and Green Party nominee Jill Stein receives a mere 1 percent.

Trump’s slight increase in support has come mainly from men and non-college graduates, two demographics with whom he generally polls well. Among men, Trump leads 54 percent to 34 percent, up from his 47/37 lead in September, and among non-college graduates, he leads 50 percent to 35 percent, up from a 47/40 lead last month.

Clinton still maintains a strong lead among women and voters with a college degree. Women prefer Clinton 56 percent to 31 percent, and voters with a college degree prefer her 56 percent to 34 percent. In September, Clinton led among women 56 percent to 30 percent and college graduates 54 percent to 31 percent.

Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, commented on Trump’s slight increase in support, saying that it is “not enough to erase Clinton’s overall advantage.”

The poll also showed that both Clinton and Trump are still struggling with surprisingly low favorability ratings — or surprisingly high unfavorable ratings, depending on how you look at it. A mere 28 percent of New Hampshire voters have a favorable opinion of Donald Trump, while 61 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him. His ratings have barely shifted from last month when 30 percent of voters had a favorable view of him and 63 percent had an unfavorable view.

Clinton doesn’t fare much better than Trump in the favorability department. Thirty-three percent of voters have a favorable view of her, compared to 57 percent who have an unfavorable view. In September, 36 percent of voters viewed her favorably, while 56 percent had an unfavorable opinion.

It appears, based on the poll’s results, that the low favorability ratings of the two major party presidential candidates have affected those running for the Senate. Republican Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte, in particular, has suffered in the polls because of her support of Donald Trump.

Twenty-nine percent of New Hampshire voters are critical of Ayotte, saying that she has been too supportive of Donald Trump. On the other hand, 24 percent say she has not been supportive enough. Twenty-one percent of voters say that Ayotte’s opponent, Maggie Hassan, has been too supportive of Hillary Clinton, while 5 percent say she has not been supportive enough.

Murray also commented on the two New Hampshire Senate candidates, who have both seen their favorability ratings decline. “This campaign has taken a toll on two politicians who started out as largely popular among their constituents,” he said.

Ayotte and Hassan are now tied, 46 percent to 46 percent. Last month, Ayotte led by 2 percentage points, 47 percent to 45 percent.

The Monmouth University Poll questioned 401 likely New Hampshire voters by telephone between October 22 and October 25 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percent.

Clinton image via Drew Angerer/Getty Images, Trump image via Paul J. Richards/Getty Images.