Republican candidate Donald Trump’s path to presidency continues to narrow, while only holding a three percentage point lead over his opponent the night before early voting started in Texas.
According to the most recent University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, 45 percent of likely voters supported Trump and his vice presidential running mate, Mike Pence; and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine followed closely with 42 percent. Seven percent of voters supported Libertarian Gary Johnson and William Weld; and Green Party’s Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka had only two percent.
When voters were asked their reasoning behind supporting their candidate, 47 percent of Republicans wanted their candidate to be president, while 53 percent said they are voting for the real estate mogul only because they don’t want Clinton to become president.
On the other hand, Clinton’s voters were more certain of their candidate. Sixty-six percent said they want her to be president, while 34 percent said they are for her because they don’t want Trump to be elected president.
Joshua Blank, who supervised the poll, said the absence of devotion from Republicans is “remarkable.” Democrats are voting in approval of their candidate, while more Republicans are voting for Trump only to vote against their opponent.
Co-director of the UT/TT Poll and head of the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin had this to say of the poll’s results:
‘This is the trend that we’ve been seeing in polling for the last two weeks. This actually underlines something that is really good for congressional candidates who are really trying to navigate how to manage the unpleasantness for them at the top of the ticket. They can talk about the nation’s highest court instead of their party’s nominee.’
Voters who plan to vote for Gary Johnson or Jill Stein were asked who they would choose for their second candidate choice. Among voters supporting Johnson, 34 percent named Trump, while 29 percent named Clinton. Thirty-seven percent said they wouldn’t vote if they couldn’t vote for Johnson. Thirty-six percent of Stein voters chose Trump, 35 percent chose Clinton and 29 percent did not have a second choice.
The internet survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted from Oct.14 to Oct.23, with early voting beginning in Texas on Oct.24 and has an overall margin of error of +/- 2.83 percentage points.
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