Despite the best attempts of Republican FBI Director James Comey and the concerted effort by the GOP and their presidential nominee, Donald Trump, the email scandal dredged up from nothing is not having a massive effect on the polls.
Although some polls show a definite tightening in the numbers between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, Clinton’s lead is still apparent and many of the polls are showing no change at all. For instance, a Politico/Morning Consult poll released on Monday shows Clinton with a three-point lead, which is similar to their recent polls throughout October.
In a four-way match-up, Clinton received 42 percent of the votes from likely voters, with Donald Trump at 39 percent, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson at 7 percent, and Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein at 5 percent. In a two-way match-up between the two major party candidates, Clinton maintains the exact same three-point lead at 46 percent to Trump’s 43 percent.
When asked about the latest email non-scandal drummed up by the GOP and FBI Director Comey, a full 39 percent said that the news did not affect their likelihood of voting for the former secretary of state, while only 33 percent said that it made them “much less likely” to vote for Clinton.
The voters most influenced by the email scandal that isn’t even a scandal yet are those who were likely not voting for the Democratic nominee, anyway, which includes that 33 percent who said their votes would be affected. Sixty-six percent of those most likely to vote for Trump said that the new scandal would definitely affect their votes.
Morning Research co-founder and Chief Research Officer Kyle Dropp said that:
‘It is unlikely that there will be a dramatic shift in the polls before Election Day. While Friday’s news may be considered an “October Surprise,” it doesn’t seem to be moving the needle as of now.’
The “surprise” is not even a surprise or a scandal that can be defined in any real way at this point. Although emails were found on a laptop belonging to the husband of Hillary Clinton’s chief of staff during her time as secretary of state, there is no indication yet that anything surprising lies within those emails since there is no warrant as of yet for the Department of Justice or the FBI to research them, and it is as yet unknown whether the emails are actually new or if some or all of them have already been investigated.
For more on the 2016 presidential polls, see video below:
Featured image screengrab via YouTube