In the Peach State, Trump leads Clinton among likely voters by a mere one percentage point, 45 percent to 44 percent. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson receives 8 percent of the vote (Green Party nominee Jill Stein is not on Georgia’s ballot). When Johnson is left out of the equation, Trump still leads by one point, 47 percent to 46 percent.
Clinton has gained on Trump slightly since September’s poll of the state, which showed Trump leading 44 percent to 42 percent.
NBC explains that much of the reason that Clinton has remained competitive in Georgia has to do with her popularity among African American voters. African Americans make up 29 percent of likely voters in Georgia, the poll reveals, and they prefer Clinton over Trump 91 percent to 6 percent.
Among the 40 percent of Georgians who have already voted, Donald Trump leads by two percentage points, 48 percent to 46 percent.
Both Clinton and Trump struggle with Georgia voters when it comes to favorability. Thirty-eight percent of likely voters had a favorable opinion of Clinton, while 58 percent had an unfavorable opinion. Trump’s favorability numbers are almost equally bad, with 37 percent of voters having a favorable opinion and 59 percent viewing him unfavorably.
The polls also looked at voters in Arizona and Texas, two other traditionally red states where Donald Trump has a stronger lead.
Trump’s lead has grown in Arizona. In September, he led by a mere two percentage points, 40 percent to 38 percent. He now leads by five percentage points, 45 percent to 40 percent. Gary Johnson receives 9 percent of the vote in Arizona, and Jill Stein receives 3 percent.
Trump’s lead is slightly smaller among those who have already voted. Fifty-eight percent of Arizona voters have already made their decision, and Trump leads among them 47 percent to 44 percent.
Although Clinton polls better among minority voters in general, her lead among Latino voters is not enough to give her an edge in Arizona. Latino voters make up 21 percent of the likely voter population in the state, and Clinton leads among them 66 percent to 26 percent.
Of the three states surveyed, Trump’s lead is the largest in Texas, where he looms above Clinton by nine percentage points, 49 percent to 40 percent. Johnson receives 6 percent support and Stein receives 2 percent. The GOP nominee gains an even larger lead among the 54 percent of Texans who have already voted. He has a 10 point advantage among this group, leading 52 percent to 42 percent.
Both candidates are lacking in favorability in Texas and Arizona, Clinton in particular. Sixty-one percent of likely voters view her unfavorably in Arizona, and 63 percent in Texas feel the same. Trump’s favorability is not particularly high in either state — 38 percent in Texas and 34 percent in Arizona — but he is still doing better than Clinton overall, as the polls show.
All three polls were conducted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 1, meaning Clinton’s overall decline was likely affected by the release of a letter by FBI director James Comey, who revealed that new emails had been discovered that might be relevant to the investigation of her use of a private email server.
Clinton has been struggling in the polls ever since Comey’s letter was sent. While she once led nationally by large margins and seemed almost guaranteed to win, she now leads by only 1.3 percent, according to the Real Clear Politics poll average. With Election Day less than a week away, she is trying her hardest to turn things around.
Featured image via Drew Angerer/Getty Images.