Despite the already dwindling influence of Republican House representatives in California, events that have transpired in the last year in relation to the Trump administration have shed light on the risks of these representatives losing their seats in the upcoming midterms.
California has a total of 53 seats in the House, 39 of which are occupied by Democrats. With Democrats aiming to flip 24 total seats in the House, the state of California is shaping up to be one in which a great victory can be achieved. Given that 14 of the GOP-held seats are being targeted in order to be turned over to Democrats, it is evident that the clear impact of the Trump administration in 2017 has led to these seats becoming competitive, as California citizens grow restless and uneasy with the president’s agenda thus far.
In being able to utilize the failing policies of the current administration, House Democrats in California believe that many GOP-held seats, such as those occupied by Darrell Issa or Devin Nunes, will be easier to flip as a result of negative sentiment against various Trump-era influences. Issues such as dismantling the Affordable Care Act, climate change, the recent tax bill, and other detrimental policies have caused an overwhelming number of California citizens to distrust the current administration, allowing Democrats to tip the scales in their favor in retaining influence in the House.
According to a report published by The Cook Political Report, of the 14 Republican districts in California, eight of them are likely to be highly competitive in the upcoming midterm elections. Whereas previously legislative issues were at the forefront of these election races, it has become evident that this is no longer the case in these districts. Rather, the behavior shown by the Trump administration after only a year in office has caused California residents to become uncomfortable with the attitude and characteristics of the president himself, more so than they are worried about the specific policy agendas he aims to implement.
As of now, the 14 seats held by GOP representatives are occupied by Doug LaMalfa, Tom McClintock, Paul Cook, Jeff Denham, David Valadao, Devin Nunes, Kevin McCarthy, Steve Knight, Edward Royce, Ken Calvert, Mimi Walters, Dana Rohrabacher, Darrell Issa, and Duncan Hunter.
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