The Ohio special election taking place Tuesday is beginning to see votes counted, and the results so far have revealed that Danny O’Connor leads Troy Balderson by a whopping 26% with 1% of the vote counted so far.
According to NY Times:
“Voters in Ohio’s 12th District are choosing a replacement for Representative Pat Tiberi, a Republican who resigned to work for a business group. The candidates are Troy Balderson, a Republican endorsed last week by Mr. Trump, and Danny O’Connor, a Democrat.”
“The race is expected to be close, and both national parties are spending heavily. But whoever loses will get a rematch in the regularly scheduled election in just three months.”
The big picture: the early vote is as expected.
Why was it expected? Because we knew the geographic/partisan composition of the early vote and it was highly unrepresentative.
Now we need some Election Day data. How big is the turnout and how good is it for Balderson?
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) August 8, 2018