Nate Silver Goes On ‘ABC Sunday’ & Makes Democrat Senate Control Announcement

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Anger appears to be the great motivator in the 2018 midterm elections. Oh sure, the Republicans used their nominee for the Supreme Court, Justice Brett Kavanaugh, to kickstart their base. However, that will have been four weeks old news by the midterms. Donald Trump may just be the anger generator that the Democrats need to fuel their action.

Trump has been going around the country saying that a vote for a Republican House or Senate seat was a vote for the Donald. Little did he realize how much his antics got the Democrats going. Yes, healthcare’s existing conditions have been great for the Dem candidates, but POTUS may be an even more important galvanizer.

Nate Silver, creator of the renowned statistical site FiveThirtyEight, told ABC’s host of This Week, George Stephanopoulos that Democrats have an 85% chance of winning the House.

He also claimed that the Senate is “not a lost cause” for the Democrats:

‘Nate Silver is out with his latest forecast, and it shows that Democrats have an 85% chance of winning the House.’

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Silver said that House Democrats have a “field of 80, 90, maybe 100 pickups:”

‘If you were running a business and I told you there’s a 15% chance that your key supplier won’t make its delivery, you would treat that as a real-world risk and would do things to hedge against it. You cannot circle 23 districts where Democrats will for sure win. Maybe 10, 12, 15 look very likely. However you have a field of 80, 90, maybe 100 pickups mathematically. Probably the dice come up good enough for Democrats in those districts.’

The statistician continued, saying the most important thing for Democrats was a high turnout:

‘There are not a lot of guarantees, and the House is fought by a district by district level….It really is the mirror image of the Senate. Democrats have so much exposure in the Senate. Democrats are kind of in a no lose situation. Democrats might have four or five seats they can lose versus 100 GOP seats in play. Anywhere from a 20-seat gain if Democrats have a

Twitter world went wild. Check out some of our favorites below:

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Featured image is a screenshot via YouTube.