On Monday, the government shutdown continued into day 31, marking over a month since 800,000 federal workers were furloughed or asked to work without paychecks. Now, many of those federal workers are beginning to reap the effects of the tantrum happening in Washington. The majority of people blame Mr. Trump for the shutdown as they rightly should and approval polls are starting to show it.
The results of a recent NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist Poll were published showing that Trump’s approval rating is currently 39 to 53 percent. This means the president’s approval rating has gone down seven points from December when it was 42 to 49 percent.
Among the most troubling statistics for Trump is the fact that among suburban men who approve of the job Trump is doing, the numbers dropped from 51 to 42 percent. Even support among white evangelical men has dropped for Trump from 73 to 66 percent although he still continues to receive a high amount of support from this cohort.
The question remains as to whether or not those approval ratings will rise when there is a solution to the government shutdown. Among Republicans, 83 percent approve of the job Trump is doing, but among Democrats 89 percent disapprove the president.
The poll also shows that among white men without college degrees, Mr. Trump has a 5o percent approval rating while among white women without college degrees, his approval rating lowers to 43 percent. Fifty percent still isn’t much to gloat about especially for a group who helped elect the president.
Trump’s lowest approval ratings were among women at 29 percent, with college-educated women giving him a slightly lower rating at 26 percent. Among age groups, those 45-49 gave him the highest approval rating at 46 percent while the lowest approval was among 18-29 year-olds at 30 percent.
Lee Miringoff, director of Marist Institute’s polling center said:
‘For the first time, we saw a fairly consistent pattern of having his base showing evidence of a cracking. Don’t know if that’s temporary — tied to the government shutdown — or a broader problem the president is having.’
The poll did not reflect well on Republican members of Congress either with only 29 percent approving of the job they are doing in office.
The NPR/PBS/Marist Survey contacted 1,023 American adults between January 10-13. The margin of error was 3.8 percentage points.
According to Newsweek:
‘Trump’s second-year average approval rating was 40.4 percent, and his first-year average was even lower, at 38.4 percent, a Gallup poll report released on Wednesday found. In his second year, from January 20, 2018, to January 19, 2019, Trump’s rating dropped to 37 percent from 39 percent a half dozen times, at the beginning and end of the time period.’
According to the Gallup Poll report:
‘His overall approval ratings in the 30s and subpar approval among independents currently give him long odds of winning the general election and a second term as president.’
The poll did state though that Trump’s high ratings among his own party “make it unlikely that he will be denied the Republican presidential nomination in 2020, even if he is challenged by a fellow Republican in the primaries.”
Trump’s approval rating has fallen even among conservative Rasmussen reports. Perhaps, the largest fact to highlight though is that the Gallup Poll showed a 79-point gap in the president’s approval rating between Republicans and Democrats during the second year of his presidency, which has been the largest of any presidential year.
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