The polls are coming out left and right, predicting which candidates are doing best, who likes capitalization, and who likes socialism. Those results do not reflect that what everyday people want, which is to get rid of income disparity. The so-called good economy is based upon the stock market, where many Americans have been completely left out. The most interesting polls show how Trump is doing.
In solidly red state Arizona, if the general election were held today, it appeared that former vice president Joe Biden has already beaten Donald Trump after just a one-month race for president in 2020, 49 percent to 44 percent. Only seven percent of the interviewees were undecided. Even before he entered the race, Biden was holding his own against Trump in a dead heat — 46 percent to 46 percent.
Chief of Research and managing partner of OH Predictive Insights Mike Nobel said:
‘The Biden bump we have seen in other states carried over to Arizona. Fifteen months before the Arizona primary, Biden is the Democratic candidate best positioned to take on the president. If Democrats put electability above all else, Biden could run away with the nomination and the White House.’
Trump could be the only Republican to lose Arizona, since Kansas presidential candidate Bob Dole lost it to Bill Clinton.
Compare those numbers to the same poll, which was also taken in February 2019. Biden lined up with 46 percent against Donald Trump’s match of 46 percent.
In the Democratic presidential lineup, Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) was second, right after Biden holding a 42 percent standing. Trump beat her in the poll with 47 percent, and 11 percent were undecided.
This poll had Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) way down against Trump. He and South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg tied with 37 percent of the vote. Trump held 46 percent against them, and 16 percent were undecided.
Compare that to the February poll. Sanders carried 37 percent of the vote against Trump’s 49 percent.
Former senator candidate in 2018 Beto O’Rourke (D-TX) came in next, behind Trump at 40 percent to 46 percent. Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) pulled in 39 percent as compared to Trump’s 48 percent of the vote.
Harris was up one percent with 40 percent in February against Trump’s 49 percent.
The OH Predictive Insights Poll interviewed 600 likely Arizona general election voters with a margin of error of four percentage points. The poll interviewed participants between May 1 and May 2.