Donald Trump has been worried about former vice president Joe Biden for the 2020 election. He also talks a lot about what he calls the “I” word, impeachment. Yet, there is something else that is weighing on POTUS’ mind.
Of course, Biden has been a threat with his continuing 20-point strong lead against the president, but the guy or gal at the top typically has had a bulls-eye on his/her back. Still, Trump loses to other strong Democratic candidates, even though he has already raised $100 million for 2020 and had a strong economy, at least on paper.
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg have been pulling ahead in the newly released Post and Courier-Change Research Poll of most-likely South Carolina voters. There has always been a strong black women vote in this important state.
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) conversely have fallen somewhat in the last national polls. Sanders dropped from the number two position to number four.
Of course, polls have always been just a snapshot in time. Four years ago, Trump announced his candidacy, and no one expected him to win.
Former representative Beto O’Rourke (D-TX) almost won in his Senate challenge to Senator Joe Biden (D). Still, he and Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ) have been struggling. He and businessman Andrew Yang were the only ones to pull up the minimum one percent in South Carolina among the cast of 24 candidates.
The poll indicated that a full eight out ten likely South Carolina voters have been closely following the race at this early time, according to the Post and Courier-Change Research Poll, Palmetto-Politics reported.
Biden held 46 percent of the vote in South Carolina just after he announced his decision to run in 2020. That gave him a 31-point lead. Then, he began falling, down to 37 percent in the last poll. Warren bumped Sanders for second place in South Carolina, showing a 17 percent lead. Buttigieg followed closely with 11 percent.
Buttigieg has come out as the only 2020 presidential candidate with military experience. As he handed out President Barack Obama’s flyers in Iowa, he noticed how many of them were in the service. Buttigieg said that he felt the need to serve.
The greatest surprise in the poll was Buttigieg’s most important support among black voters. The race’s two primary black voters were Harris with 11 percent of the black voters and Booker with just three percent.
Harris and Sanders tied in fourth place with a nine-percent following.
When the pollsters asked why they chose Biden, they said working with President Barack Obama influenced their decision. The former vice president vacations in South Carolina, which has increased his name recognition. In this poll, he led in all categories (ethnic, income, gender, education and regional groups) with one exception. That was among voters 18 to 34-years-old.
This poll was conducted online with 933 likely primary voters. The poll attracted 46 black voters. That was down substantially from the 2016 Democratic primary. For some reason, this poll attracted more people with over a $50,000-year income and those with a college degree as compared to the latest presidential primary polls.
The Post and Courier-Change Research Poll was conducted between June 11 and June 14. It had a 3.2 +/- percent margin of error.