After Bernie Sanders (D-VT) had his heart attack, his numbers in the polls dipped. Yet just weeks later, he appears to be back to his old self. His numbers in a just-released New Harmshire poll are astounding.
Sanders was leading in the CNN/University of New Hampshire Poll among the top three picks along with Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and former vice president Joe Biden (D-DE). South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg was running close behind them bringing a notable amount of donors and campaign donations — more than Biden. Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) rounded out the second rung of Democratic candidates in the 2020 presidential election.
There was also a third tier in the running consisting of businessman Andrew Yang, Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MI), and Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI). They all moved up slightly from summer results.
CNN wrote that Bernie Sanders was leading at 21 percent:
‘Bernie Sanders [came in] at 21 percent, Elizabeth Warren at 18 percent, Joe Biden at 15 percent, and Pete Buttigieg at 10 percent. Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar, and Andrew Yang are all at five percent’
Still, Donald Trump (R) beat all of them in the Granite State among likely Republican primary voters, 86 percent. This was in spite of several other Republican challengers.
Strikingly, Sanders’ lead at 21 percent was the weakest since 1972 among leaders in the New Hampshire primary at this point in time. In addition, just 23 percent of Democratic voters have definitely decided upon the candidate they wanted. The same was true in Iowa, too. This could due to the large crowd of Democratic candidates.
Interestingly enough, Buttigieg had the “best favorable to unfavorable rating” among the Democratic candidates. Sanders beat Warren for the “most trusted on the issues Democratic voters consider to be the most important.” These included health care and climate change. Warren’s unfavorable ratings have increased since the July CNN/UNH poll.
Among all of the New Hampshire interviewees for this poll, impeachment and removal of Trump was 42 percent. A majority of 51 percent were against it.
The pollster found that this was a “historically unprecedented New Hampshire mess,” because no one was polling above 21 percent. Traditionally, there has been a clear front-runner polling between 20 and 15 points above Trump.
Sanders’ top score, 21 percent, appeared to the pollster to be remarkably low for the one with the top percentage in this poll. In fact, the pollster could not locate a New Hampshire poll with a frontrunner who carried such low percentages at this point in time:
‘I looked at polls dating back since 1972, and the only real comparison is the 1992 Democratic polls. In that cycle, Mario Cuomo was polling between 30 percent and 40 percent, and he decided not to run in December 1991. When he was eliminated as an option, there were some polls (though not all) that had no one above 29 percent.’
This suggested that the primary results were still very mixed. That meant:
‘[A] far higher chance than normal that the candidate not leading could win the New Hampshire primary. It breathes new life into those campaigns under 10 percent.’
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