The canary in the Kentucky political mine is the Public Policy Polling (PPP) results. Senate Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) has been in office since 1984 and his greatest goals are keeping the Senate majority and stacking the courts with very conservative judges. Still, what happens if the Kentucky senator loses his 2020 election? This is what the poll predicts.
Right now, the PPP has shown Senator McConnell has dropped to an 18 percent job approval. Asked whether they would vote for him in 2020, just 37 percent of the Kentucky voters said they would.
Part of McConnell’s problem might be his unyielding support of Donald Trump. The Democratically-led House of Representatives has been in the process of obtaining evidence of crimes committed. Those crimes evolved around coercing the Ukrainian president to trade campaign dirt for $391 million in military aid. An impeachment will follow.
The results on McConnell’s campaign could foretell how well POTUS will do in 2020. The Daily Beast reported:
‘The Bluegrass State is the canary in the mine for how much Trump can help, or hurt, a candidate as his impeachment looks every more likely. After two weeks of unimpeachable civil servants bearing witness to an impeachable president, clinging to Trump out of fear he will kill you if you don’t do what he says is becoming more politically perilous.’
Still, the poll indicated that Donald Trump’s approval rate was fairly high in Kentucky, 60 percent approved of his job performance, 36 percent disapproved. On the other hand, McConnell’s job performance approval rating was 16 percent, and 74 percent disapproved.
In a 2020 Senate race, only 37 percent of Kentucky voters would vote for the majority leaders and 44 percent would vote Democrat, but 19 percent were not certain.
As far as the Affordable Care Act (ACA/Obamacare) went, when questioned about whether that made voters more likely to vote for McConnell, 19 percent said more likely, 48 percent less likely. A full third of voters said the ACA made no difference, 29 percent. The interviewer asked whether people approved of Kymed (Kentucky’s health care exchange). Voters disapproved by 61 percent and 21 percent approved. There was a full 38 percent who were not sure.
Amy McGrath is the leading Democrat contender in the 2020 campaign, according to CBS News. She received 299,000 contributions. The average donor gave $36. She has been pulling more money in the third quarter than some of the presidential candidates. Thus far, she has raised $10.7 million in this quarter. McGrath brought in $2.5 million in the 24 hours after she declared she was running. Perhaps, Kentucky voters think it is time to let a woman handle the job.
Her campaign manager Mark Nickolas released a statement about an AARP poll showing the two Kentucky candidate just one percentage point apart. Nickolas said:
‘Mitch McConnell has never faced an opponent like Amy McGrath. Not only does a new independent poll show the race tied, but more than a quarter-million grassroots donations-from all 120 Kentucky counties-have provided us a record-shattering first quarter of nearly $11 million to take down McConnell and his self-serving special interest allies. Change is coming.’
The complete Policy Partner Polling can be accessed with this link.
The Mueller Report Adventures: In Bite-Sizes on this Facebook page. These quick, two-minute reads interpret the report in normal English for busy people. Mueller Bite-Sizes uncovers what is essentially a compelling spy mystery. Interestingly enough, Mueller Bite-Sizes can be read in any order.