The polls do not appear to like Donald Trump. Of course, they did not like him in 2016. Yet, on voting day, we saw a huge block of voters, like a frighteningly huge domed space ship rise up from the earth. Strong. Angry. Unwilling to cooperate. That means Democrats must prepare against those who refuse to talk to pollsters.
More and more Republicans have moved, if not fully to the Democrats’ party, into an ever-growing independent group. Some of this group are women who are appalled at how this president speaks to strong women. Others of a certain age shy away from Trump when he asked them to sacrifice themselves, by voting in person. That might well lead them to die on the president’s reelection altar. They were not willing.
Now, the Star Tribune-MPR News-KARE 11 Minnesota poll. shows former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democrats’ presumptive candidate in November leading Donald Trump by five percentage points.
The poll’s results were released this Monday. A full 49 percent of registered Minnesota voters want Biden over Trump, who was running at 44 percent. Only seven percent were undecided.
Among Independents, the two candidates appear to be in a dead heat. Biden took 41 percent to Trump’s 42 percent. Seventeen percent of the Independents were not decided. The Independents have the power to win the election for one of the two men.
The poll also asked women who they would back. Biden took 60 percent of their vote. On the other hand, Trump took 54 percent of the men’s vote. There was some small difference between the 50-plus years-olds who favored Trump
Minnesota has been labeled leaning Democratic, because no Republican has carried it since 1972. Hillary Clinton won Minnesota by 40,000 votes in 2016, but that does not mean Democrats should assume the state is theirs.
SOURCE: Star-Tribune Poll.
The poll also discovered most voters disapprove of Trump’s performance. Only 45 percent approve of his accomplishment, and a full 53 percent disagreed.
The former vice president won Minnesota in a Democratic presidential primary on Super Tuesday. This happened right after Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) decided to leave her campaign and throw her support to Biden.
The Star Tribune-MPR News-KARE 11 Minnesota poll was conducted between May 18 and May 20 among 800 registered voters from a random sample of 100,000 voters. Its margin of error is 3.5 +/- percentage points in the live survey with the interviewees.
The sample for this survey was drawn from a Mason-Dixon database that includes approximately 2.2 million registered Minnesota voters who have a working telephone number. Both landlines, 35 percent, and cell phone owners, 65 percent, were included.
A full 95 percent probability of “true” figures remain in that range should all voters be interviewed. This would put the margin of error higher than those of any one subgroup, i.e. one based upon gender and/or age.
The individuals self-identified as Democrat, 38 percent, Republican, 33 percent, and Independent or other, 29 percent.
The Mueller Report Adventures: In Bite-Sizes on this Facebook page. These quick, two-minute reads interpret the report in normal English for busy people. Mueller Bite-Sizes uncovers what is essentially a compelling spy mystery. Interestingly enough, Mueller Bite-Sizes can be read in any order.