This has been a bad week for Donald Trump already. His advisors want him to wear a mask, but he thinks wearing one is not macho enough for when presidents, prime ministers, kings, and dictators come to visit. People found out he did not care that his good buddy Vladimir Putin put a bounty on the heads of American soldiers. Now, this.
In 2016, presidential candidate Trump won Missouri by 18 points. Unfortunately, new polling shows that the Show-Me state has not liked what the president has shown them. It may be a sign that his iron grip on the heartland has been slipping badly.
The Democratic pollster Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group released its latest poll showing former Vice President Joe Biden leading by 2 points. It polled 800 people and found that 48 percent would vote for Biden. Only 46 percent wanted the president for a second term. That was harsh news for a man who wanted to change the laws so he could run for a third term, become a dictator just like Putin:
Go back to 2016, and these results showed a dramatic difference. Trump won Missouri by 10 Electoral College votes with 56 percent voting for him in the popular vote. Back then, his opponent, Hillary Clinton only took 37.9 percent. Missouri has not had a Democratic president since it elected President Bill Clinton in 1996. Hillary was no Bill Clinton, and voters prefer a charismatic president.
Biden’s Missouri lead was well within the poll’s 3.5 percent margin of error, so Trump may still win the state. This poll was taken online from June 16 to 22. Democratic governor candidate and State Auditor Nicole Galloway commissioned the poll. She is running against the sitting Governor Mike Paron (R). In this poll, she led 47 percent to 40 percent.
Longtime Senator Claire McCaskill (D-MO) lost her senate seat to a Republican in 2016 after representing Missouri from 2009 to 2017.
FiveThirtyEight wrote, according to The Newsweek magazine that:
‘Trump has had the upper hand in nearly all of the limited polling that has been conducted in Missouri. Polling averages, Trump still holds a narrow 2.4 percentage point lead over Biden in the state.’
These results were not out of step with other polls. They show that Donald Trump will have to work for the state, because it will be no easy win this time.
Arkansas was another state that Trump won easily by almost 27 points in 2016. The first main presidential election poll showed the president holding a tenuous two-point advantage over the former VP.
With Tennessee, he had an easy 26 points win in 2016. He led by in the previous election then, but he only has a single-digit lead over Biden at this point in his campaign.
Trump’s opponent has met with Pennsylvania families who have been able to use the Affordable Care Act (ACA/Obamacare) well. This law was one of the former VP’s signature achievements.
A new Missouri poll conducted by a Democratic organization showed Bide leading Trump by 2 points. A Fox News poll showed Biden leading Trump by 12 points.
A Real Clear Politics poll found:
‘[A]verage of polling data has Trump down roughly 9 points to the former vice president. Surveys of battleground swing states that were crucial to the president’s 2016 victory also show Biden in the lead.’
The polls have been rough t his week on the man who occasionally sits in the Oval Office. At this point, some Republican pundits fear the president will decide against running for a second term. He has not shown much enthusiasm for the race and continually shoots himself in the foot. Even Fox News hinted that Trump might bail if he sees his poll numbers on a rapid descent. This late into the year, that would be disastrous for the GOP.
The Trump campaign has been spending money in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio. Iowa Senator Joni Ernst won in the 2016 election. Now her solid seat has become more into play. Even Texas has been leaning away from the Grand Old Party.
Biden’s poll win in Missouri came from Independents breaking for him 45 percent to 40 percentage points.
This president has not trusted polls, according to Newsweek. He has called them “fake.” The polls did not show him winning in 2016. That may be part of his reasoning for 2020. Many of the people throughout the country who follow him have not trusted the polls either. In fact, they may have felt so distrustful they did not participate in any of them.
Trump has belligerently argued that he has had “VERY GOOD internal Polling Numbers.” He went so far along this line of thinking that he asked whether the media would give him an apology should he win.
He tweeted the “polls are a joke:”
‘Sorry to inform the Do Nothing (sic) Democrats, but I am getting VERY GOOD internal Polling Numbers. Just like 2016, the @nytimesPolls are Fake! The @FoxNews Polls are a JOKE! Do you think they will apologize to me & their subscribers AGAIN when I WIN? People want LAW, ORDER & SAFETY!’
Author of the Fox News report Charles Gasparino sent out a series of tweets after speaking to “major players” in. the GOP. One told him that Trump’s mood was “fragile” as his loss looks ever more certain:
‘BREAKING— (thread)GOP operatives are for the first time raising the possibility that @realDonaldTrump could drop out of the race if his poll numbers don’t rebound. Over the weekend I spoke to a sample of major players; one described Trumps current psyche as “fragile.”‘
The Mueller Report Adventures: In Bite-Sizes on this Facebook page. These quick, two-minute reads interpret the report in normal English for busy people. Mueller Bite-Sizes uncovers what is essentially a compelling spy mystery. Interestingly enough, Mueller Bite-Sizes can be read in any order.