It hasn’t been much of a surprise that Trump’s popularity has been slipping in recent polls. Democratic candidate Joe Biden has been widening his lead and the reality of him winning the election is starting to look more likely.
A recent Gallup Poll shows that the president’s job approval rating is slipping among groups that propelled him to his 2016 victory. According to MSN News:
‘The latest data from Gallup finds Trump’s overall job approval rating at 38 percent, down from his all-time high of 49 percent, which he reached in early May.’
Specifically, Trump’s support has declined among important key groups including independents, white people, men, voters without a college degree, and older people.
Based on history, this is bad news for Trump considering the only two presidents whose approval ratings were in the 30’s at this point in the election were cycle were George H.W. Bush and Jimmy Carter. Both lost their reelection bids.
The only president to have won reelection with a low approval rating of 40% was Harry Truman in 1948. However, 91% of Republicans still approve of the job Trump is doing which is up from 85% last month.
According to MSN:
‘Democrats are within striking distance of retaking the Senate majority in November, while Republicans are facing an increasingly difficult electoral map as Trump’s sagging poll numbers threaten to drag down vulnerable GOP incumbents.’
Some important Senate races to watch are in North Carolina and Montana. In North Carolina, Democrat Cal Cunningham has raised $7.4 million in the second quarter of 2020 in his bid to unseat Senator Thom Tillis (R).
Governor Steve Bullock (D) of Montana has raised $7.7 million in his first full fundraising quarter on the campaign trail. He is attempting to unseat Senator Steve Daines (R).