A number of well-known Republican senators – inclusion Mitch McConnell and Susan Collins – are facing an uphill battle in their bids to keep their seats in 2020. For some of them, those battles are quite surprising as they come from states that Trump won by big margins in 2016.
ME: Biden+15, Gideon+4
KY: Trump+9, McConnell+5
SC: Trump+5, Graham/Harrison tiedhttps://t.co/8cQuLeSpt3
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) August 6, 2020
Lindsey Graham (R-SC) banked his hopes on backing Donald Trump in almost every situation, no matter how offensive or ridiculous the president becomes. The polls in his state seem to be proving that this was never a smart strategy for yet another longtime senator.
In a Civiqs poll reported by ABC News:
‘The poll said that 56 percent of the voters had an unfavorable view of Graham, with 35 percent viewing him favorably. It also had Harrison as a 18-point favorite among independent voters by 46 to 28 percent.’
What Democrats have struggled so hard to do, make inroads in midwestern red states, Donald Trump may very well have done for him. When any political party loses a majority in Congress, it is always a statement from the public on their feelings about current leadership. One look at the Trump/Biden polls shows that voters are extremely discontent with that leadership right now, just four months ahead of the elections.
Pollsters admit that South Carolina is not an easy state for Democrats to win, but should also not be counted out.
‘South Carolina remains the most Republican state on the Eastern Seaboard,” Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman of Sabato’s Crystal Ball agreed. “Harrison’s path is not an easy one, but it is also not an impossible one.’
Jaime Harrison is proving a likely contender for Graham. No longer ahead in the polls, Graham faces a challenger who is as recognizable and possibly more popular in his state than the senator who has held his seat for nearly 18 years.
‘Harrison’s fundraising, name recognition and ground game is making the contest competitive for Graham, who has never been more popular with conservatives but is alienating himself from Democrats and centrists who don’t appreciate his alliance with Trump.’
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