With only 65 days left before election day, the memory lingers of Donald Trump forcing possibly hundreds of federal workers to break the law to showcase his Republican Panorama. Then, he persuaded about 1500 people to throw themselves onto the Trump re-election sacrificial altar. He had fireworks “rockets red glare, the bombs bursting in air that even spelled out his name, that gave proof through the night that our reality show host was still there in this new American history.
Source: Hill-Harris X Daily Poll.
There were still eight percent of voters who were undecided. Four percent said they would not vote for Trump or Biden, and another four percent would not vote at all.
History Professor at American Universty Allan Lichtman has predicted every presidential election correctly beginning in 1984. He told Newsweek he believes that Joe Biden will beat Trump this year based on his model.
Lichtman said:
‘This is the system that in defiance of the polls and the pundits predicted Donald Trump’s win in 2016. Now, it is predicted that Trump will become the first president since George H.W. Bush in 1992 to lose a re-election bid.’
The FiveThirtyEight averages national polls. This organziation indicates that Biden is leading by percentage points. Biden is holding 50.2 percent of the voters with Trump trailing at a lowly 42.2 percent. Real Clear Politics’ average gives Trump a somewhat better showing. He is only down 6.9 percent. Biden came in with 49.7 percent of the vote, and Trump was at 42.8 percentage. points, according to Newsweek.
The swing states so important to carry the Electoral College are Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin:
‘Real Clear Politics’ averages show Biden leading in all four. These states are seen as key for the Democrats, as they went blue for President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 before shifting red for Trump in 2016. In Florida, Trump is down by about 3.7 percentage points, while he also trails Biden by 2.6 points in Michigan, 4.7 points in Pennsylvania and 3.5 points in Wisconsin.’
Of course, one wonders whether Lichtman took into consideration that many Trump followers do not trust the government even as tangential as poll surveys. It would behove Democrats and Independents alike to remember there is this great hulking dome-like space ship containing unAmerican, alien-like people who come out only on one day, November 3, 2020, to vote.
The Mueller Report Adventures: In Bite-Sizes on this Facebook page. These quick, two-minute reads interpret the report in normal English for busy people. Mueller Bite-Sizes uncovers what is essentially a compelling spy mystery. Interestingly enough, Mueller Bite-Sizes can be read in any order.
