Democratic presidential pick Joe Biden and his allies got a round of good news on Tuesday. Polling conducted by the firm Redfield & Wilton Strategies in five swing states showed Biden with a lead in all five of the locales. The list of states included Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Florida, all of which Donald Trump won in 2016. If Biden won in at least some of the states on the list, then he could deny Trump a second term in office, if everything else stayed about the same as it was in the 2016 election results.
Biden 51 (+11)
Biden 50 (+9)
Biden 48 (+5)
Biden 48 (+5)
Biden 47 (+3)
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 8, 2020
Some of the Biden leads were pretty dramatic. In Michigan and Wisconsin, for instance, the Democratic standard-bearer led by 11 and 9 percent, respectively. Biden had 50 percent or more of the support in both of those states, which is a good sign for the security of his leads. If Biden secured 50.1 percent of the support in a particular state on Election Day, then no number of undecided voters would be able to shift the state to Trump. According to FiveThirtyEight, as of Tuesday afternoon, Biden leads in Michigan and Wisconsin by an average of 6.6 and 7.5 percent, respectively. The Redfield & Wilton data had been factored into each number.
The poll numbers that remain consistently dismal for Trump are coming out amidst desperation from the president’s team. A recently released report from The New York Times revealed that the Trump campaign and its partners in the national Republican Party had apparently already spent the vast majority of $1.1 billion that they raised between the beginning of 2019 and July of this year. That spending has left them potentially struggling for cash with less than two months until the election and not much to show for it — in national-level polls, Biden leads Trump by an average of 7.5 percent as of Tuesday afternoon, according to FiveThirtyEight.
Facing the pressure of his potential resounding defeat, Trump has been lashing out. For instance, he has been baselessly clamoring against mail-in voting, which he falsely claims is full of fraud. More recently, he has also turned to launching the utterly baseless accusation that Biden and his allies are somehow okay with violence. They have condemned things like rioting over and over again.
"If you elected this guy, the suburbs would be overwhelmed with violence and crime" — Trump's campaign message has devolved into just straight-up trying to terrify people pic.twitter.com/nDTG6FKuBJ
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) September 8, 2020