A week ago Donald Trump was in the hospital. Now, he is doing two campaign rallies on some days. In his town hall with NBC’s Savanah Guthrie, he appeared desperate, angry, and seriously sick. Owing one billion dollars would probably have something to do with how he felt. Plus, there are all the crimes he would have to address as a mere mortal.
‘Another way the coronavirus outbreak is shaping this election is the manner in which people are voting. In Wisconsin, many voters are switching over to mail ballots, and those doing so cite coronavirus concerns as the main reason.’
Both states have an older population which traditionally votes Republican, but that appears to be changing:
‘Arizona and Wisconsin have older electorates who tend to vote Republican, and Mr. Trump is underperforming with them in Arizona relative to 2016 as Biden cuts into his margins. Mr. Trump’s lead among seniors there is half of what it was in 2016. (Margins are an important metric when looking at support in various groups: in some cases, whether a candidate “wins“ a group is less important than how much he or she wins or loses it by.)’
Arizona seniors say Trump has put their lives at risk in the virus pandemic:
‘One reason: Almost half of Arizona seniors say Mr. Trump’s response to the outbreak has put seniors and older voters at risk for coronavirus, and 95% of seniors who feel that way are backing Biden. ‘
Seniors are still as divided in Wisconsin, as they were four years ago:
‘After being hit hard by the virus over the summer, most Arizona voters now think efforts to contain the outbreak are going well, but the damage to the president’s political fortunes may have been done. More voters say his administration has hurt rather than helped their state’s efforts to contain the outbreak. This is the case in Wisconsin too, where they are experiencing thousands of new cases a day. Nine in 10 Biden voters say the coronavirus outbreak is a big factor in their decision to vote for him.’
YouGov performed the interviews for CBS News on October 13-16, 2020. They interviewed 1,087 registered voters in Arizona and 1,124 in Wisconsin. The margins of error for the likely voters were +/- 4.1 points in Arizona and +/- 3.5 points in Wisconsin.
The results regarding these two important states were discussed on CBS’ Face the Nation.
Read the entire survey by clicking on this CBS News link:
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