Final Presidential & Senate Polls From Arizona Leave Trump & GOP In Shock


After four years of President Donald Trump, the GOP is reaping what they’ve sown in both presidential and senatorial races across the country in 2020. One battleground state left in the wake of Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) passing is Arizona, where the senator appointed to fill his seat is lagging far behind her Democratic challenger and the president who still insults him years after his death is struggling to win in a state that Republicans have taken handily in recent elections.

The RCP average of polls between Democratic challenger, former Vice President Joe Biden, against Donald Trump is within the margin of error at just one percent, with a majority of polls showing Biden ahead by at least three points. In 2016, Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Arizona by more than three points. Mitt Romney won the state by 10 points in 2012 and John McCain by nearly nine in the 2008 presidential elections. The GOP control in that state is clearly fading.


Martha McSally, the Republican whose bid for Arizona’s other senate seat fell short to Kyrsten Sinema in 2018, was appointed to fill John McCain’s seat after he passed but has yet to win an election. She’s faring poorly against Democratic challenger Mark Kelly, the husband of former Arizona Rep. Gabby Gifford (D-AZ), who is beating her in nearly every poll by an average of more than four points.