Ex-President Donald Trump does not appear to have the level of support among Republicans that would be necessary to launch a new presidential run in the next election. Asked if they would “like to see Donald Trump run for president in 2024” in a new survey from Echelon Insights, only 45 percent of Republican voters replied in the affirmative. That number is significantly lower than the level of support for a Trump 2024 run that Echelon Insights found last December, when 65 percent of Republican respondents said that they would “like to see Donald Trump run for president in 2024.”
In the time since December, of course, a mob of Trump’s supporters stormed the Capitol and threatened the lives of members of Congress and others. Additionally, Trump lost a major means of communicating with the public when Twitter banned him from the platform over his incitement of violence. Thus, his profile has decreased substantially in the time since his exit from the White House — although the damaging effects of his behavior are still very much in place.
Troubingly, in the new Echelon Insights survey, a full 20 percent of respondents overall said that they think that Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election. This supposed win, of course, did not actually happen — and no court anywhere in the country ever, at any point, even partially accepted the idea that systematic fraud was responsible for Biden’s victory — but the fact that these voters believe in a lie anyway isn’t great news for democratic stability. Among Republicans in particular, a full 43 percent of respondents said that they believed that Donald Trump won the election, meaning that the GOP needs to seriously reckon with the nature of basic reality within its ranks. The idea that Donald Trump won the election is not connected to truth in any respect.
1 in 5 voters think Trump won the election, and Republicans are divided➗ evenly down the middle.
— Echelon Insights (@EchelonInsights) February 2, 2021
Trump himself appears to still be holding onto the idea that there might be some legitimacy after all to his lies about the integrity of the 2020 presidential election. In a recent filing from his legal team ahead of his upcoming Senate impeachment trial, the ex-president’s lawyers insisted that “Insufficient evidence exists upon which a reasonable jurist could conclude that the 45th President’s statements were accurate or not, and he therefore denies they were false.” In other words, they appear to be claiming that there’s “insufficient evidence” to determine whether Trump’s statements about the election were false, which is ridiculous — no credible authority anywhere in the country ever, at any point, produced actual substantive evidence of systematic fraud.