Kyrsten Sinema Arizona Polling Shows Dramatic Popularity Collapse

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Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) doesn’t fare well in a new round of polling released this week showing the opinions of Arizona voters regarding her approaching shot at re-election. Asked whether they’d pick Sinema, another Democrat, or another Republican to serve in the Senate seat that Sinema currently holds, a whopping 72 percent of Arizona Democratic respondents in the survey opted for another Democrat. And it’s not as though Sinema could bank on support from Republicans to buoy her campaign, either: overall, just 26 percent of general Arizona respondents picked Sinema over another Democrat or another Republican. That’s less than a third.

Sinema has garnered opposition because of a growing list of issues, including her support for the filibuster as it stands in the Senate. The 100-member chamber’s filibuster rules demand the agreement of at least 60 Senators before moving forward on most legislation, and in practice, these requirements mean that most successful legislative pushes have to be at least somewhat bipartisan. Mitch McConnell, though, isn’t exactly known for being inclined towards bipartisanship in pretty much any respect — so Sinema’s stance on the filibuster helps solidify the standing of a power-hungry obstructionist in the Senate. Sinema has also drawn opposition for her advocacy against the originally laid out Build Back Better agenda, which involves socially oriented spending to support improving health care access, fighting climate change, and more.

Although the sample sizes were on the smaller side, Democratic respondents in the new survey, which was conducted by OH Predictive Insights, also indicated that they’d support three possible Democratic challengers to Sinema by more than 20 percent over the Senator. Reps. Greg Stanton (D-Ariz.) and Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) each got 47 percent of voters’ support when pitted against Sinema one-on-one, while Sinema herself got just 25 and 24 percent of the support, respectively. Against Arizona public schools superintendent Kathy Hoffman, Sinema got 24 percent to Hoffman’s 44 percent. None of these numbers, of course, suggest that Sinema will have a particularly easy time cruising to re-election when she’s up in 2024.

In the meantime, competitive Senate races will be stretching around the country throughout the midterm elections, in states including Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Arizona. Control of both chambers of Congress, which are currently closely divided, will be at stake.