Trump Falls Behind Challengers In Latest 2024 Presidential Poll

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Donald Trump is two percent behind Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis in a newly available survey asking Florida Republicans about their stances on a potential match-up in the 2024 GOP presidential primary.

In the results, which reflects the selections of registered Republicans surveyed as part of the overall poll, Trump got 45 percent, and DeSantis nabbed 47 percent. The poll is from the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida. The university is a relatively highly-regarded pollster, with a rating of “A/B” from FiveThirtyEight, an elections data and analysis site. The rating reflects a high level of confidence in the pollster’s accuracy. In the results from the polling of the GOP primary, seven percent of respondents selected someone else, and one percent indicated they didn’t know or refused to answer.

This survey isn’t the first to find DeSantis ahead of Trump in Florida in the potential scenario of the two eventually running against each other in the upcoming presidential primaries. Including the polling from the University of North Florida, FiveThirtyEight already cataloged five polls asking Florida respondents to make a choice in the hypothetical case of DeSantis and Trump running against each other, and DeSantis led in four out of five of the surveys. All the polls in which DeSantis led are the most recent survey efforts. One recent poll found the governor more than 20 percentage points ahead of Trump among Republicans in Florida should the two end up politically facing each other.

Throughout his time in office, DeSantis has worked to distinguish himself through his perceptibly feverish commitment to various key causes for the far-right corner. Trump, meanwhile, often sticks these days to complaining about the last presidential election, but polling indicates that’s just not a top concern for the GOP base.

Although he leads in multiple polls by just single-digits, Trump fares better in polls at the national level, but surveys in which he’s excluded suggest DeSantis would become the nearly automatic frontrunner if Trump, for whatever reason, sits out while the governor decides to move forward. During an appearance this week on Fox in which he largely complained about the recent raid of the southern Florida Trump property known as Mar-a-Lago, Eric Trump insisted Donald’s poll numbers are doing great to the point other potential Republican presidential primary contenders have essentially faded from the conversation. However, that’s just not an accurate description of the presently unfolding situation.