In a recent Fox News Arizona poll, respondents identified themselves as 40 percent Democrat, 46 percent Republican, yet eight percent more likely to vote for Democrat Mark Kelly over Republican Blake Masters, three percent more likely to vote for Democratic candidate for U.S. Representative Katie Hobbs over Republican Kari Lake, and 52 percent of Arizona respondents were unfavorable toward Trump.
The potential of these numbers ahead of the November 2022 election should be making Republicans very, very nervous.
Katie Hobbs (D) 47% (+3)
Kari Lake (R) 44%
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 18, 2022
Answers to questions not involving candidates also reveal a lot about Arizona voters. For instance, the two most important issues they identified were inflation and border security, with 40 percent choosing them as the most important, two issues most commonly cited by Republicans in their platforms as working against Democrats. 32 percent of voters identified abortion and voting rights, issues most commonly identified by Democrats. Despite the differences, Democrats continue to see likely wins there.
Arizona voters also reported being motivated to vote come November. 71 percent said they planned to vote and were extremely motivated to do so, while only three percent said they didn’t feel motivated at all. High voter turnout generally spells victory for Democrats, a truth shown clearly in 2020.
In an even more telling question, Arizona voters were far more concerned that Blake Masters, the Trump supporter running for Senate, is too much like Donald Trump than those concerned that Democrat Mark Kelly is too much like Biden. In fact, 42 percent of respondents said they were concerned about Masters’ similarities to Trump while only 36 percent said they were concerned about Kelly’s similarities to Biden.
Also tellingly, respondents showed that only 37 percent of Arizonians approved of the decision by the Supreme Court to overturn Roe v Wade compared to 54 percent who disapproved. The outrage over the decision is expected to motivate Democrats to show up at the polls in November.