Mark Kelly Opens Up Double Digit Lead Over MAGA Challenger


With three weeks before early voting starts in Arizona, a Democratic candidate has begun to soar in the polls. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) shot up in the polls way beyond his competitor Blake Masters (R-AZ), a full 12 points. If these numbers continue, Kelly has a very good possibility of retaining the first seat to go to a Democrat in 67 years, according to The Washington Post.

The Ohio Predictive Insights (OHPI) Poll came out Wednesday showing the former astronaut’s popularity at 47 percent among likely voters. At the same time, Masters only garnered 35 percent of the voters. The Libertarian Marc Victor brought in six percent of the vote.

But this has been no time to stop working for Kelly. There is a 12 percent of undecided voters floating around Arizona who could go either way.  

Kelly ranks in the 51 percentile range for favorability, and his unfavorable ranking score is 43 percent. Conversely, Masters had a 40 percent favorable rating and a 49 percent unfavorable rating in the poll.

A surprising 20 percent of Arizona Republicans supported Kelly this time and they intend to give him their vote. Only 65 percent of the Republican voters supported Kelly. At the same time, the sitting senator brought in a fulsome 86 percent of the Democrats.

Independent voters have begun to make their decisions known. Kelly pulls ahead in that demographic, too, by 15 points. He took 43 percent to Masters’ 28 percent. And only 10 percent of the Independent voters said they would vote for the challenger.

At this point, mere weeks from the general election, there was a fairly significant number of undecideds. A full 12 percent of those voting Republican and 19 percent of Independents were uncertain about how they would ultimately vote.

 Masters said, The New York Times reported:

‘[I was] performing well among key underrepresented groups like Hispanics and independents and is in decent standing with Republicans.’

But with three weeks to go until early voting begins, so much could happen. For that reason, Noble said Kelly cannot “count his chickens” yet.

Kelly leads Masters among Hispanics by 40 points and among voters aged 18 to 34 by 44 points. Of course, these voters are his most notable areas of support.

Masters responded to an Associated Press (AP) report on Sunday in The Times. He tweeted:

”Finally a compelling explanation for why our economy is doing so well. [There were] more female, Black, and gay officials contributing to the central bank’s interest-rate decisions than at any time in its 109-year history.’

By slicing the demographics a different way, Masters is ahead of Kelly by 25 points for those making less than $50,000 per year. When it came to those making between $50,000 and $100,000 per year and over $100,000 a year Masters barely squeezes ahead.

A super PAC linked to Senator Minority Leader and self-described ‘Grim Reaper” Mitch McConnell (R-KY) just gifted Masters nine million dollars worth of ads and expense money.

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The Ohio Predictive Insights poll was completed between September 6th through the 9th among 654 likely random voters. And the poll’s margin of error was +/- 3.83 points, which was relatively high.

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In politics, a world of change can happen in three weeks prior to an election.

Featured image is a screenshot via YouTube.

In Gloria Christie Reports & Three White Lions Substack newsletters. Christie is a political journalist for the liberal online newspaper The Bipartisan Report. Gloria Christie Report her newsletters are for people on the go. Written in her own unique style with a twist of humor in a briefer version of Bipartisan Report. Christie’s Mueller Report Adventures In Bite-Sizes a real-life compelling spy mystery (in progress). Find her here on Facebook. Or at Three White Lions her book on Amazon Kindle Vella.