In new polling from frequent survey partners YouGov and The Economist measuring prospective voters’ takes on this year’s presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris is two percentage points ahead of Donald Trump nationally in the two’s expected match-up later this year. Harris quickly became the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee after the recent withdrawal from this year’s election of President Joe Biden, who endorsed Harris.
Among registered voters, Harris had 46 percent of the support, while Trump had 44 percent. The polling was concluded July 30. Notably, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. had just three percent of the support, which precedent from recent elections suggests might be closer to what he will actually get in the final results this year, assuming he actually sticks with his campaign to that point.
In polling from about a week prior that was begun the day that Biden announced he was actually withdrawing from the 2024 race, a measured Harris-Trump match-up finished more poorly for the Democrat, with Trump leading by three percentage points. But in the time since, Harris quickly began consolidating support for her presidential campaign from across the Democratic Party, with massive surges in grassroots backing exemplified by $200 million in campaign fundraising across just Harris’ first week. Many of the Democratic Party figures who might have challenged Harris for the nomination opted instead to endorse her.
Now, Harris must choose a running mate of her own — which she will reportedly be unveiling just days in the future, with even more campaign trail appearances coming afterwards.