New polling from Marist College done in collaboration with NPR and “PBS NewsHour” finds a very large lead for incumbent President Joe Biden among suburban women ahead of his expected rematch in this year’s presidential election with Donald Trump, the former president.
When respondents were asked about who they’d support in this year’s race and just those two candidates were specifically named, 58 percent of suburban women — identified as “Small city/Suburban Women” in the polling data — went with Biden, while Trump secured the support of just 40 percent of that group.
Biden also had a top-level lead in the survey among registered voters pooled at the national level, although the incumbent’s margin was small, at two percent. The leader in national polling ahead of Biden and Trump’s anticipated rematch tends to switch around from poll to poll, though any national polling from the presidential race always comes with the caveat anyway that the next president will be decided via the state-by-state processes of the electoral college.
Still, national margins are sometimes (not always) a decent barometer of electoral college outcomes, as Biden led Trump in the national popular vote by more than four percent when winning in 2020.
Trump remains somewhat stuck in New York City as the jury in his criminal trial in the city continues its deliberations, which started on Wednesday. The case deals with felony allegations of falsifying business records of repayments to Michael Cohen, a former Trump ally, after he provided a woman named Stormy Daniels with hush money ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Cohen was already prosecuted separately on campaign finance law violations on the idea the scheme constituted a covert boost to Trump’s campaign by keeping Daniels’ story of a past sexual encounter with Trump under wraps.
