Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden continues to earn strong numbers in polls across the country. In a new Marquette Law School poll of Wisconsin voters, Biden leads Donald Trump by a full eight percent. Biden earned 49 percent of the support of the registered voters who were surveyed, while Trump garnered only 41 percent of the support, with a margin of error of 4.3 percent. Biden’s lead is significantly bigger than it was in last month’s presidential race poll from the same source — in the May edition of Marquette Law School’s polling, Biden had 46 percent of the support in the state compared to 43 percent for Trump.
Wisconsin will likely be key to the winning coalition of whichever candidate comes out on top in November; it was key to the winning margin in the electoral college that Trump won in 2016. In the new polling data from Wisconsin’s Marquette University, even some of Trump’s traditionally strong numbers are dipping — although in May, 54 percent of respondents approved of Trump’s handling of the economy while only 40 percent disapproved, in June, only 50 percent of respondents said they approved of Trump’s economic policies, while 46 percent said that they disapproved.
The Wisconsin numbers mirror the results of many other polls. Although there’s certainly plenty of time for the margins to shrink ahead of November, as of Wednesday afternoon, Biden leads Trump by an average of a staggering 10.1 percent on the national level, according to RealClearPolitics. In three out of the five most recently cataloged national polls, Biden’s lead stood at double-digits. Biden also leads on average in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Florida.
Biden’s political prospects have gotten so good that one new analysis in CNN outlines how Biden could end up with over 400 electoral votes. If Biden wins all the states that Hillary Clinton did in 2016 and also prevails in states including Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, then he’ll already be “just south of 370 electoral votes,” CNN’s Harry Enten explains, and he’d only need to add a couple more states onto that total — Iowa and Texas — to pass 400.
Enten notes:
‘Biden could win the largest landslide for a Democrat since Lyndon Johnson in 1964 — or he could lose to President Donald Trump. For Biden to score a huge win, very little needs to change. Biden is ahead by 10 points in an average of live interview polls nationally. The largest Democratic win in the last 56 years was Bill Clinton’s 9-point win in 1996.’
Trump, for his part, has consistently ignored his sinking political prospects. He’s dismissed polls as “phony” that show him losing, and his campaign has even demanded a retraction and apology from CNN after the network published a particularly tough poll showing Trump losing to Biden by double-digits on the national level — but facts are facts, and the facts keep coming in.
A new New York Times/ Siena poll on the national level showed Trump down big time. The Times reported:
‘Joe Biden has taken a commanding, 14-point lead over President Trump in the 2020 race, according to a new poll of registered voters by The New York Times and Siena College’
The reality of Trump’s sinking political prospects is closing in.
Joe Biden has taken a commanding, 14-point lead over President Trump in the 2020 race, according to a new poll of registered voters by The New York Times and Siena College https://t.co/vBwC7OGUbk
— The New York Times (@nytimes) June 24, 2020
