Some of the latest polling data shows terrible news for Donald Trump and the Republican Party — although the news is, of course, a boost for those who are working to get Trump and his enablers out of office. In recent data, Trump fares startlingly poorly with groups including non-white voters and population hubs across the so-called Sun Belt, which includes states like Texas and Georgia. In years past, it might have been a wonder to see significant Democratic potential in Texas — but as of early Saturday, FiveThirtyEight reports that Trump is up in state polls by an average of merely 1.7 percent. Since 2016, a whopping total of over 1.5 million new voters have registered in the state, suggesting that big shifts could be on the horizon.
The New York Times reports that Trump “is trailing not just in must-win battlegrounds but according to private G.O.P. surveys, he is repelling independents to the point where Mr. Biden has drawn closer in solidly red states, including Montana, Kansas and Missouri, people briefed on the data said.” The apparent monumental blue wave that has driven Biden “closer” to Trump in GOP-leaning states like Kansas and Missouri in private Republican polling could be truly paradigm-shifting. In the meantime, it’s worth noting that the Trump administration has never had much of a “mandate” from the American people — millions more voted for Hillary Clinton, after all, and millions of others didn’t vote at all.
The Times adds that “[nowhere] has Mr. Trump harmed himself and his party more than across the Sun Belt, where the electoral coalition that secured a generation of Republican dominance is in danger of coming apart.” In Florida, which Trump won in 2016 and which FiveThirtyEight estimates is the swing state that’s second most likely to deliver the decisive winning boost to the eventually victorious presidential candidate, Biden led in polling by an average of 4.4 percent as of early Saturday. In Arizona, which FiveThirtyEight estimates is also in the top 10 swing states most likely to be the election’s “tipping point,” Biden led by an average of 3.8 percent as of the same point.
Meanwhile, in a recent Fox News survey, the GOP faced some truly monumental results among the choices of the non-white respondents. Among “likely” voters, Biden nabbed a staggering 80 percent of the support among non-white respondents. Trump had a mere 16 percent of the support from the same group, making the Biden supporters five times more numerous among these non-white likely voters.
