There has been some question about how the Hispanic vote would swing in the 2020 presidential election. In the last presidential election in 2016, Donald Trump took in a not insignificant cut of their votes. A new Univision Noticas poll just came out measuring the Latino vote.
Both former vice president Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) came in with strong Latino support in the poll, 22 percentage points and 20 points respectively. With the upcoming Democratic presidential debate in Houston this week, the two top poll contenders in the poll’s snapshot may have been surprising.
That placed them in a favorable position given the ever-expanding Hispanic population in the US. One advantage Hispanics have over white Americans is that they have been supplying more young people to share the burdens of Social Security and taxation in an aging white population.
The only Latino in the 2020 election, former Housing and Urban Development Secretary under President Barack Obama, Julian Castro only garnered 12 percent. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) brought in a close 11 percent, and Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) took eight percent.
In a surprising finding, 69 percent of all Hispanic voters believed that the president’s language in speeches and on Twitter bore a “great deal” or “good amount” of the burden in causing the August mass shooting in El Paso. A like number of voters said they thought the president influenced the Walmart shooter, who surrendered.
Former representative Beto O’Rourke (D-TX) came within one percentage point of felling Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) in the 2018 election. Although he had strong ties to the Hispanic population and grew up on the border in El Paso, O’Rourke only brought in six percent in the new poll. The remainder of the presidential candidates scored under two percent with Latinos.
A full 73 percent of Latinos indicated that they intend to vote Democratic in the 2020 presidential election. Just 16 percent determined they want to vote for Donald Trump. and 11 percent were undecided.
When Senators Biden and Sanders were linked up to the president one-on-one, they did somewhat better than the other presidential candidates with 71 percent each.
A large percentage of Latinos, 74 percent, thought that white supremacist groups threatened the nation. A full 92 percent of the interviewees would vote favorably for Congress to change gun laws — expanding background checks for every gun sale or transfer.
Latinos have grown to be the greatest non-white ethnic group in the 2020 voting population. The Latino voters will be crucial in the Nevada caucuses and the California and Texas elections.
Univision also interviewed all racial groups in a Texas statewide poll. The most interesting result came from the shifting sands of the Texas political scene. The results indicated that the state could actually be in play in the 2020 Senate race. Many Democratic figures have urged O’Rourke to drop out of the presidential election and run for that seat. However, he has emphatically said “no.”
Univision Noticas conducted the poll with 1,043 randomly selected registered Hispanic voters throughout the nation. Univision Notcias interviewed this population between August 31 and September 6.
The Mueller Report Adventures: In Bite-Sizes on this Facebook page. These quick, two-minute reads interpret the report in normal English for busy people. Mueller Bite-Sizes uncovers what is essentially a compelling spy mystery. Interestingly enough, Mueller Bite-Sizes can be read in any order.