2020 Senate Projection Poll Released Shows Major Blue Wave

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Although he would not be the first astronaut to go into politics, Mark Kelly (D-AZ) is the first in recent history. His wife Gabby Giffords (D-AZ) has been popular both before she was shot in a targeted mass shooting and after. Thus far, her husband has taken the lead in a new Arizona poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights.

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OH Predictive Insights conducted the poll and showed Kelly with 49 percent of the vote to Martha McSally’s (R-AZ) 42 percent among Arizona voters. In the December poll, the lead was significantly less, 47 percent to 44 percent.

‘The battle for control of the Senate Chamber may very well come down to historically ruby-red Arizona. While there are few undecided voters in the Senate race, a quarter of likely voters do not have an opinion of Mark Kelly – giving Team McSally an opening to define the first-time candidate.’

Yet Noble noted many voters, 25 percent, has no opinion of Kelly at all. McSally has been in front of them ever since McCain died.

Both Kelly and McSally have shown themselves to be aggressive fundraisers. Kelly raised over $20 million by December 2019 to add to his accumulated $13 million. McSally raised $12 million with $7.6 million on hand by the end of 2019.

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Arizona has become a battle state with its changing ethnic population. Voters have also come to the state lured by high-paying high-tech jobs in the Phoenix metropolitan state

Voters in the state prefer a generic Democratic candidate to a generic Republican Republican by a four-point margin, 45 percent to 41 percent.

OH Predictive Insights interviewed 600 random likely Arizona voters in a blended survey, which means on both cellphones and landlines. The poll was conducted from March 3 to 4, 2020. Its margin of error was four percent plus or minus.

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